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Trump Predicts Iran War Ends; Markets Rally

Story Thread|Trump Seeks Reopening of Iran-Controlled Strait

Araverus Team|Saturday, April 4, 2026 at 2:00 AM

Trump Predicts Iran War Ends; Markets Rally

Araverus Team

Apr 4, 2026 · 2:00 AM

Iran War · Oil Prices · Stock Market · Strait Of Hormuz

Iran WarOil PricesStock MarketStrait Of Hormuz

Key Takeaway

Trump's declaration of an imminent end to the Iran conflict means immediate positive sentiment for global equity markets, particularly energy-sensitive sectors, as investors anticipate lower oil prices and reduced geopolitical risk. This shift implies a potential re-evaluation of defense stocks and a boost for consumer discretionary spending as fuel costs decrease, while the continued military presence and past deceptions suggest underlying volatility for oil futures.

President Trump announced on Tuesday that the war with Iran is nearing its conclusion, with a deal expected soon with a new, more reasonable Iranian regime, sparking a significant stock market rally and investor optimism for reduced fuel costs.

Major stock indices, including the Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P, jumped by 2.5%, 3.8%, and 2.9% respectively, following Trump's declaration that the conflict would end in "maybe two weeks, maybe a couple of days longer." Trump stated that the US has "obliterated" Iran's offensive capabilities, having struck 11,000 targets in 32 days, and expects the Strait of Hormuz to reopen automatically or be secured by oil-dependent nations. Despite these assurances, the US continues to deploy significant military assets, including a third aircraft carrier, the USS George H.W. Bush, and thousands of ground troops, while maintaining an April 6 deadline for Iran to open the strait or face further airstrikes.

The President also confirmed "regime change" in Iran and successful strikes on nuclear-related facilities near Isfahan.

Thread Timeline: Trump Seeks Reopening of Iran-Controlled Strait

Mar 31, 2026Trump Prioritizes Iran Military; Hormuz Closure Persists, Boosts Oil
Mar 31, 2026Trump Exit Talk Lifts Futures, Oil Elevated
Apr 2, 2026Trump's Iran Ceasefire Talk Fuels Stock Market Surge
Apr 3, 2026Iran Controls Hormuz, Global Oil Supply Threatened
Apr 4, 2026

Trump Predicts Iran War Ends; Markets Rally(current)

Read More On

Trump’s Mission Impossible for Allies: Reopening the Strait of Hormuzwsj.comFrance pushes back on calls to force reopening of Strait of Hormuz as Macron trades barbs with Trump - The Nationalthenationalnews.comWestern allies push back on Trump call for NATO help to reopen Hormuz - France 24france24.comEuropean allies tell Trump ‘nein,’ ‘non’ and ‘no’ on help to force open Hormuz Strait - defensenews.comdefensenews.comMacron says 'unrealistic' to open Hormuz Strait by force, urges Trump to 'be serious' - France 24france24.com

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