
Energy · Geopolitics · Gold · Inflation
Gold tumbled 2.2% below $4,650 an ounce after the US military announced a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, following failed weekend negotiations with Iran to secure a lasting peace deal after six weeks of war in the Middle East.
The US military will commence the blockade at 10 a.m. Eastern Time on Monday, targeting any vessel that has paid a toll to Iran for passage through Hormuz, a critical maritime chokepoint that previously handled one-fifth of the world's crude and liquefied natural gas.
This action by President Donald Trump immediately caused oil and natural gas prices to surge, while equity futures slid and a gauge of the dollar rose 0.5%, creating a significant headwind for gold. The spike in energy prices intensified inflationary risks, making it certain that central banks will delay interest rate cuts or even implement hikes, a negative development for non-yielding bullion.
Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics released Friday showed March inflation climbed by the most in nearly four years, with gasoline prices responsible for nearly three-quarters of the monthly advance, reflecting the war's early economic impact.
US Hormuz Blockade Sinks Gold, Fuels Inflation Fears(current)