Economic Impact · Energy Prices · Inflation · Iran War
President Trump and his administration received private warnings from cabinet officials, political allies, and corporate leaders, including Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon, regarding the severe economic hit a prolonged war with Iran would inflict on Wall Street and Main Street, particularly through rising energy and commodity prices.
Bessent discussed market reactions and U.S. economic trajectory with Trump, noting Asia and Europe were most vulnerable to rising energy prices. National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett also advised on potential U.S. economic impacts.
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon stated a continued war would cause "significant ongoing oil and commodity price shocks, along with the reshaping of global supply chains, which may lead to stickier inflation and ultimately higher interest rates." CEOs of the three largest U.S. oil companies warned Energy Secretary Chris Wright and Interior Secretary Doug Burgum that a prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz, which carries 20% of the world’s daily oil and liquefied natural gas supplies, would sharply squeeze global fuel supply chains. Consumer prices rose 3.3% in March, oil prices exceeded $100 a barrel, and gasoline prices surpassed $4 a gallon.
Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins heard concerns from farm lobbyists, including American Soybean Association Chairman Caleb Ragland, about fertilizer price increases, as half of global urea and one-third of ammonia flow through the Strait. The administration, through White House spokesman Kush Desai, confirmed efforts to mitigate disruptions and increase production.
White House Warned: Iran War Threatens Global Economy(current)