Mosaic Company (The)NYSE: MOS
Materials · Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals
$23.19
-0.37%
Vol: 4.1M
Research Digest
Friday, May 1, 2026
Mosaic announces 2030 sustainability targets; Q1 earnings May 11; analyst PTs cut
Mosaic announced 2030 sustainability targets on Apr 29 focused on People, Earth and Innovation. Q1 2026 earnings due May 11 with consensus expecting 63% EPS decline YoY due to rising costs and supply chain concerns. Multiple analysts cut PTs in late April: CIBC to $27 from $32, BofA to $29 from $30, Wells Fargo to $25 from $27.
Previous Market Intelligence
13 daysApr 30Mosaic sets 2030 sustainability targets but faces analyst downgrades and EPS headwindsNegative▶
The Mosaic Company announced global 2030 sustainability targets on April 29 focused on improving efficiency and reducing risk. However, multiple analyst price target cuts reflect challenges: Bank of America cut to $29 from $30, Wells Fargo cut to $25 from $27, and Scotiabank cut to $33 from $35. Analysts project 63% EPS decline year-over-year due to rising costs and supply chain concerns. Q1 2026 earnings expected May 11. Stock trading near 52-week low at $23.15.
Apr 16Mosaic idles Brazilian phosphate operations; $350-400M pre-tax charge; Goldman Sachs initiates BuyNegative▶
Mosaic announced on April 8 that it will idle its Araxa Mining Complex and related Patrocinio operations in Brazil, reducing annual phosphate production by 1 million tonnes. The company expects a pre-tax book impact of $350-400M in Q1 2026, with $275-300M for impairment on assets held for sale. Mosaic plans to pursue Araxa asset sales while developing a niobium opportunity at Patrocinio. UBS downgraded to Neutral with $27 PT, but Goldman Sachs initiated Buy coverage. Stock trades at $23.73.
Apr 15Mosaic idles Brazil mining operations to reduce phosphate output by 1 million tons; UBS downgrades to Neutral with $27 price target.Negative▶
Mosaic Company announced plans to idle Araxa Mining and Chemical Complex and suspend mining at Patrocinio Complex in Brazil, reducing annual phosphate output by 1 million tons with pre-tax book impact of $350-400 million. UBS downgraded stock to Neutral, cutting price target from $33 to $27 due to rising input costs. Company is expanding rare earths through joint venture with Rainbow Rare Earths. Stock fell 8.13% on week and 9.17% on month. Earnings scheduled for May 6.
Apr 14Mosaic Company idles Brazilian phosphate operations and pursues asset sale; expects $350-400M pre-tax book impact in Q1.Negative▶
Mosaic announced April 8 it will idle and demobilize its Araxa Mining and Chemical Complex and Patrocinio mining operations in Brazil, reducing annual phosphate production by ~1 million tonnes. Expects a pre-tax book impact of $350-400M in Q1 2026. Plans to pursue sale of Araxa assets. Also signed definitive agreement to sell Mosaic Potash Carlsbad for $30M. Expanding rare earth operations through Rainbow Rare Earths joint venture.
Apr 13Mosaic announces major Brazil operations restructuring with $350-400M impairment charge in Q1 2026.Negative▶
The Mosaic Company announced April 8 that it will idle and demobilize its Araxa Mining and Chemical Complex and Patrocinio Complex in Brazil. Company anticipates pre-tax impact of $350-400M in Q1 2026 with workforce reductions. Expected annual capex savings of $20-30M and opex savings of $70-80M.
Apr 10Mosaic idles Brazil operations and records $350-400M impairment, while expanding into rare earths production.Mixed▶
Mosaic announced idling its Araxa Mining complex and Patrocinio operations in Brazil to reduce costs, cutting phosphate production by approximately 1 million tonnes with $350-400 million pre-tax book impact in Q1 2026. The company is expanding into rare earths through a joint venture with Rainbow Rare Earths targeting 2030 production. UBS and BofA both at Neutral. Consensus Hold with $32.19 target.
Apr 9Mosaic announces Brazilian phosphate idling and rare earths joint venture expansionNeutral▶
Mosaic announced plans to idle Brazilian phosphate operations and pursue asset sale as of April 7, 2026. Company expanding into rare earths through joint venture with Rainbow Rare Earths at Uberaba site in Brazil, targeting production by 2030. Stock faces mixed performance with recent analyst downgrades. UBS downgraded to Neutral from Buy, Bank of America to Neutral due to margin expansion delays. Stock trading at $26.57 with 3.3% dividend yield.
Apr 8Mosaic Company expanded rare earths operations via Rainbow Rare Earths joint venture; faces analyst downgradesMixed▶
Mosaic Company expanded into rare earths through joint venture with Rainbow Rare Earths at Uberaba site in Brazil targeting production by 2030. March 2026 brought downgrade to Neutral from Buy at both UBS and Bank of America amid mixed earnings. Stock down 1.39% in last 24 hours; next earnings May 6, 2026.
Apr 7No significant overnight updatesNeutral▶
No material news in the last 48 hours.
Apr 6Mosaic downgraded to Neutral by UBS and BofA; rare earths JV expansion in Brazil.Negative▶
Mosaic downgraded to Neutral from Buy at UBS (Mar 26) and BofA (Mar 20). Expanding rare earths via joint venture with Rainbow Rare Earths at Uberaba, Brazil, targeting 2030 production. High input costs and mixed earnings headwinds.
Apr 3Mosaic faces margin pressures and analyst downgrades amid fertilizer challenges, though rare-earth diversification progresses.Negative▶
Mosaic Company reported mixed earnings as higher potash and phosphate prices were offset by lower volumes and rising production costs. UBS and Bank of America downgraded the stock, citing potash oversupply risks. The company is pursuing strategic diversification through a rare-earth joint venture with Rainbow Rare Earths targeting production by 2030.
Apr 2Barclays downgrades Mosaic to Hold in March; stock trades near 52-week low as margin pressure from sulfur/ammonia costs persists.Negative▶
Mosaic faces margin pressure from higher input costs (sulfur, ammonia) and missed earnings expectations. Barclays downgraded to Hold in early March 2026. UBS and BofA also downgraded to Neutral citing margin expansion delays. Company is advancing Brazilian rare earths JV targeting 2030 production. Potash supply/demand dynamics supportive as China restricts exports. Divestiture of Mosaic Potash Carlsbad expected H1 2026.
Apr 1Mosaic downgraded by major analysts on margin pressures; rare earth expansion targets 2030 production.Mixed▶
Mosaic faces headwinds with downgrades from UBS (Neutral) and BofA (Neutral) citing margin pressures. Announced strategic joint venture with Rainbow Rare Earths targeting 2030 production. Stock at $25.31.
Sector Peers
| Company | Price | Day | 1M | Fwd P/E | Beta | Mkt Cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CTVACORTEVA | $80.92 | -0.11% | -3.9% | 20.0x | 0.68 | $54.4B |
| CFCF | $123.00 | -0.97% | -5.2% | 12.8x | 0.52 | $19.1B |
| MOSMOSAIC | $23.19 | -0.37% | -12.2% | 9.6x | 0.96 | $7.4B |
| LINLINDE | $508.66 | +1.50% | +0.3% | 25.7x | 0.79 | $232.2B |
| NEMNEWMONT | $108.91 | -1.96% | -1.5% | 9.8x | 0.47 | $118.6B |
| FCXFREEPORT | $56.78 | -1.74% | -5.4% | 15.7x | 1.47 | $82.9B |
Key Fundamentals
RSI (14-Day)
52-Week Range
Moving Averages
Price below 200d MA — bearish structure.