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Newmont CorporationNYSE: NEM

Materials · Gold

$108.91

-1.96%

Vol: 5.8M

Research Digest

Friday, May 1, 2026

Positive

Newmont crushes Q1 2026 earnings with record $3.1B free cash flow and announces $6B share buyback expansion

Newmont reported outstanding Q1 2026 results: adjusted EPS near $2.90 crushed consensus of $2.18-2.22, with revenue of $7.31B vs. expected $6.44-6.57B. Company generated record $3.1B quarterly free cash flow, demonstrating strong operating leverage to higher gold prices. Newmont doubled share repurchase authorization with fresh $6.0B authorization following completion of prior $2.4B program, signaling aggressive capital return strategy. Q1 production of 1.3M attributable gold ounces on track for 2026 guidance of 5.3M ounces. Analyst consensus is Strong Buy with 12-month target of $122.08. Company faces near-term risks from Ghana regulatory changes.

Price 50d 200d

Previous Market Intelligence

13 days
Apr 30Newmont reports record Q1 earnings and free cash flow; announces $6B share buybackPositive

Newmont delivered exceptional Q1 results with record $3.1B quarterly free cash flow and $1.3M attributable gold ounces. Adjusted EPS of $2.90 beat estimate of $2.22 significantly; revenue $7.31B topped $6.44B estimate. Company doubled share repurchase authorization by additional $6B (atop completed $6B program). Vanguard disclosed 7.7% stake in Newmont. Near-term catalysts include record FCF, new $6B buyback, and reaffirmed 2026 production of 5.3Moz. Temporary disruptions at Cadia following magnitude 4.5 earthquake expected to impact Q2 output. Consensus "Strong Buy" with $122.08 PT implies 10.7% upside. 120.5% annual return reflects strong gold price environment.

Apr 29Newmont reports record Q1 2026 EPS $2.90 vs. $2.24 consensus and $3.1B free cash flow; doubles $6B buyback programPositive

Newmont delivered strong Q1 2026 results: EPS of $2.90 vs. $2.24 consensus (6th consecutive earnings beat), record $3.1B quarterly free cash flow, and $7.31B revenue. Produced 1.3M attributable gold ounces, 50K tonnes copper, 9M ounces silver. Doubled buyback authorization to additional $6B following completion of prior $2.4B program in latest quarter. Achieved 52.7% EBIT margin and 63.8% EBITDA margin signaling exceptional operating leverage to gold prices. TD Securities raised price target to $129 from $116 on April 27. Stock up 8.41% on bullish sentiment trading near $120.70.

Apr 16Newmont stock fell 4.63% on April 15 due to Cadia mine seismic disruption, lower 2026 guidance, and AISC spiking to $1,680/ozNegative

Newmont Corporation faced significant headwinds on April 15, with the stock declining 4.63% after announcing reduced 2026 production guidance of 5.3 million attributable ounces (down 10.2% from 2025) and All-In Sustaining Costs surging to $1,680 per ounce from $1,358 in 2025. The company designated 2026 as a trough year due to operational disruptions at its Cadia mine from seismic activity and declining gold prices. Q1 earnings are expected April 22 with EPS of $2.07. Management disputes with partner Barrick over equipment diversion have escalated to formal litigation in Nevada courts.

Apr 14Newmont slides 3.4% as gold prices cool; Q1 results April 23 amid production challengesNegative

Dropped 3.4% April 13 on softer gold. Projected 14% gold output decline with AISC $1,680/oz. Q1 earnings April 23. Barrick JV dispute.

Apr 13Newmont poised for Q1 2026 earnings April 23; gold rally supports 19% YTD gainPositive

Newmont scheduled Q1 2026 earnings release for April 23 with consensus EPS of $2.02 (+61.6% YoY). Gold rally (+5.9% recent move) supports stock recovery. However, company faces 14% decline in 2026 gold production and rising costs. Strengthened balance sheet with $2.1B net cash. Stock up 19% YTD but down 2.3% past month.

Apr 10Newmont scheduled to release Q1 2026 results April 23 with production challenges and gold price volatility.Neutral

Newmont will release Q1 2026 results after market close April 23. Expanding production capacity with Ahafo North mine in Ghana. Projected 24% Q4 2025 output decrease and 14% full-year decline. Trading at $119.01 with market cap $129.5B. 11 analysts maintain Strong Buy average with $114.18 target.

Apr 9Newmont up 5.9% on gold surge; Ahafo North mine launchNeutral

Newmont rose 1.61% to $118.15 (+2.34% weekly) on gold price strength after crude oil fell $20+/barrel post-ceasefire. Launching Ahafo North mine expansion in Ghana. Q1 earnings April 23 expected $2.02 EPS. AI trading algorithms reinforcing bullish sentiment on precious metal/copper exposure amid fluctuating gold prices.

Apr 8Newmont Q1 2026 earnings call April 23; recent gains amid strong gold prices.Positive

Newmont will release Q1 2026 results April 23 at 5:30 p.m. EDT. Stock gained 0.228% on April 2, rising from $113.79 to $114.05. Strong recent share gains driven by higher gold prices create near-term catalyst focus. Company balancing production, costs, and capital returns.

Apr 7Newmont Q1 2026 results April 23; all-time high $134.88 reached in January before moderation.Mixed

Newmont will release Q1 2026 results after market close April 23 with 5:30 p.m. EDT conference call. 2025 delivered strong results with $10.3B operating cash flow, $7.3B record free cash flow, and $7.2B net income. Stock reached all-time high of $134.88 in January 2026 but moderated to ~$95.80 by late March amid "sell-the-news" sentiment following 2026 production guidance flagging temporary trough year. Natascha Viljoen became President/CEO effective January 1, succeeding Tom Palmer. With $4.3B asset sales completed, company positioned for dividend increase or multi-billion buyback in late 2026. Wall Street maintains Strong Buy with $145 median price target.

Apr 6Newmont surges 11.7% on gold price rebound; Q1 earnings April 23.Positive

Newmont jumped 11.7% since Friday April 4 on gold rally as Mideast tensions ease. 5-day winning streak with cumulative gains of 15%; market cap surged ~$16B over 5 days. Launching Ahafo North mine in Ghana. Q1 2026 results April 23.

Apr 3Newmont stock surges 2.5%+ on gold price recovery; Q1 2026 earnings forecast at $2.38 per share up from $1.25 in Q1 2025.Mixed

Newmont experienced a sharp stock recovery driven by a 2.5%+ rise in spot gold prices amid geopolitical developments. Q1 2026 earnings expected at $2.38 per share versus $1.25 in Q1 2025. Newmont is expanding production capacity with Ahafo North mine in Ghana. The stock has fallen 15.7% in under a month. Among 10 analysts, consensus rates Strong Buy with 12-month price target of $114.90.

Apr 1Newmont announced Q1 2026 earnings call for April 23, 2026, with expectations of 65.6% YoY EPS growth despite recent stock volatility.Mixed

Newmont Corporation is set to report Q1 2026 earnings on April 23, 2026, with anticipated 65.6% year-over-year EPS growth. The company delivered $2.52 non-GAAP EPS in 2025 and $6.81B revenue with 21% growth driven by gold prices rising 60% YoY. Newmont is expanding production with its Ahafo North mine launch in Ghana. NEM stock has declined 15.7% from February highs. Analyst consensus rates NEM as Strong Buy with 12-month target of $114.90.

Mar 31Newmont recovered 1% from sharp decline; Q1 EPS projected +65.6% and Ahafo North mine launch supports growth.Positive

Newmont rebounded 1% March 30, down 15.7% from Feb highs. Q1 EPS projected +65.6%. 2025 $1.30B profit with gold up 60%. Ahafo North mine in Ghana launched. Project Catalyst targeting 21% G&A cut. $6B buyback. Consensus Strong Buy $114.9.

Sector Peers

CompanyPriceDay1MFwd P/EBetaMkt Cap
NEMNEWMONT$108.91-1.96%-1.5%9.8x0.47$118.6B
LINLINDE$508.66+1.50%+0.3%25.7x0.79$232.2B
FCXFREEPORT$56.78-1.74%-5.4%15.7x1.47$82.9B
SHWSHERWIN$317.83-1.18%+1.6%24.2x1.27$79.3B
CRHCRH$115.72-2.28%+11.4%18.0x1.24$79.1B
ECLECOLAB$259.78-0.31%-2.4%27.2x1.02$73.6B

Key Fundamentals

Market Cap$118.6B
P/E (TTM)14.4
Forward P/E9.8
Beta0.47
Div Yield97.00%
Prev Close$111.09

RSI (14-Day)

42Neutral
0305070100

52-Week Range

$48.27$108.91$134.88
From High-19.3%
From Low+125.6%

Moving Averages

50d SMA
$114.14-4.6%
200d SMA
$94.90+14.8%

Price between 50d and 200d. Testing 50d support.

Historical Returns

1W
-2.6%
1M
+5.6%
3M
-17.3%
6M
+39.2%
1Y
+104.0%
YTD
+7.8%

Volume

Today5.8M
20d Avg7.5M
Ratio0.77x