CF Industries Holdings, IncNYSE: CF
Materials · Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals
$123.00
-0.97%
Vol: 1.7M
Research Digest
Friday, May 1, 2026
CF Industries declares $0.50 dividend, Q1 earnings May 6 after strong 2025 results
CF Industries board declared $0.50 per share quarterly dividend payable May 29, 2026 to shareholders of record May 15. Company will report Q1 2026 results after market close May 6 with conference call May 7 at 11:00 a.m. ET. FY2025 delivered net earnings of $1.46B ($8.97 per diluted share) and adjusted EBITDA of $2.89B. Company is focused on decarbonizing ammonia production for low-carbon hydrogen and nitrogen products. Stock trading at $123.35 with Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy). CF returned 56.4% YTD vs 17.3% for Basic Materials sector average.
Previous Market Intelligence
13 daysApr 30CF Industries stock rose 3.6% to $126.78 on April 29 and declared $0.50 quarterly dividend as company prepares Q1 earnings report for May 6.Positive▶
CF Industries stock rose 3.6% to $126.78 on April 29, 2026, with market cap of $19.26 billion and P/E of 14.13. The company declared $0.50 per share quarterly dividend payable May 29, 2026. CF Industries is set to report Q1 2026 earnings on May 6 with expectations of $2.35 EPS and $1.77 billion revenue (27% YoY increase). Stock is trading 24.1% above GF Value of $102.13 indicating overvaluation. Insiders sold $72.2 million in stock over last 3 months with no buying activity. Analyst consensus price target is $118.05 with range from $85 to $150.
Apr 29CF Industries declares $0.50 quarterly dividend and confirms Q1 2026 earnings on May 6 with expected 27% revenue YoY growth.Positive▶
CF Industries declared a $0.50 dividend payable May 29, with Q1 earnings expected May 6 showing $2.35 EPS and $1.77B revenue (27% YoY increase). The company's low-carbon ammonia production and carbon capture initiatives continue progressing. Stock has returned 56.4% YTD and carries a Zacks Rank of #1 (Strong Buy).
Apr 16Goldman Sachs raises price target to $132 from $103; stock up 73% YTD on nitrogen pricing strengthPositive▶
CF Industries received a significant price target increase from Goldman Sachs to $132 from $103 on April 14, 2026, with Neutral rating maintained. Stock has surged 73% over the last 12 months. April 8 volatility (brief 10% drop) came from Iran ceasefire news impacting nitrogen prices. Currently trading at $120.81 with 13.26 P/E ratio.
Apr 15CF Industries reports strong 2025 results with $7.08B revenue (+19%) and EPS of $8.97 (+33%); stock declines on geopolitical easing.Mixed▶
CF Industries closed 2025 with full-year revenue of $7.08 billion (up 19% YoY) and EPS of $8.97 (up 33% YoY), driven by higher selling prices across divisions. Net earnings totaled $1.46 billion with adjusted EBITDA of $2.89 billion. The company returned $1.34 billion via share repurchases. Stock declined nearly 10% on April 8-12 following news of U.S.-Iran ceasefire amid geopolitical easing and falling nitrogen prices.
Apr 14CF Industries rebounds after April 8 ceasefire dip; stock up 73% YTD with strong 2025 financials and carbon capture expansion.Positive▶
CF Industries stock recovered from a brief 10% drop on April 8 following US-Iran ceasefire news that pressured fertilizer prices. The stock is up 73% over 12 months, driven by strong 2025 results ($7.08B revenue, $1.46B net income) and the Blue Point low-carbon ammonia venture breakground. The company completed the Donaldsonville carbon capture project with 45Q tax credits now recognized.
Apr 13CF Industries share price surged 63% YTD; Iran-US ceasefire caused 10% sell-off on April 8 as nitrogen prices fell sharply.Mixed▶
CF Industries posted strong 2025: $7.08B revenue (up 19%), $8.97 EPS (up 32.6%), 38.5% gross margin. Stock up 62%+ YTD. April 8 ceasefire triggered 10% intraday decline as oil and nitrogen prices fell. RBC raised PT from $100 to $125. Blue Point low-carbon ammonia JV broke ground. Leadership: Ashraf Malik retired April 1, succeeded by Trevor Williams.
Apr 10CF Industries rallies on geopolitical support: RBC raises PT to $125, Morgan Stanley to $135; UBS sets $140 target.Positive▶
CF Industries benefited from Persian Gulf geopolitical tensions affecting nitrogen fertilizer supply. Royal Bank of Canada raised price target to $125 from $100 on April 7. Morgan Stanley increased target to $135 from $95. UBS raised target to $140 from $97. Stock at $134.70 (+2.84% on April 7). Urea FOB US Gulf futures surged over 50%.
Apr 9CF Industries tumbles on Iran ceasefire but rallied 59% in 3 months on fertilizer strengthMixed▶
CF Industries stock tumbled 5.7% (initially -9%) after U.S.-Iran two-week ceasefire, fearing normalization of Gulf gas exports could erode its low-cost nitrogen producer advantage. Prior to pullback, stock rallied 59.4% in 3 months on nitrogen demand and pricing strength. Q4 2025 beat earnings/revenue expectations; operating cash flow up 28.3% YoY to $539M. Company launched low-carbon fertilizer pilot with POET; faces DOJ scrutiny on pricing. On April 8, stock at $123.02 (range $110.65-$123.72).
Apr 8RBC Capital raises CF Industries target to $125 from $100 as fertilizer prices surge.Positive▶
CF raised by RBC to $125 from $100 as fertilizer prices jumped on Iran-related export limits and higher LNG costs. Stock $137.33. Rallied 59% over 3 months. DOJ investigation ongoing.
Apr 7CF Industries Rallies 59% on Strong Nitrogen Demand Amid Low-Carbon Ammonia PushPositive▶
CF Industries reported FY2025 net earnings of $1.46B with adjusted EBITDA of $2.89B, driven by strong nitrogen fertilizer demand and supply disruptions. The company advanced low-carbon ammonia projects with ExxonMobil's Donaldsonville CCS partnership. Stock rally driven by expectations of continued high fertilizer prices amid geopolitical tensions.
Apr 6CF Industries rallies to all-time high on strong nitrogen demand and low-carbon ammonia progressPositive▶
CF Industries stock surged to an all-time high of $137.99, delivering a 59% return over three months and 77.4% year-to-date. Full-year 2025 net earnings reached $1.46 billion with adjusted EBITDA of $2.89 billion. The company launched low-carbon ammonia joint ventures with JERA and Mitsui, and advanced the Donaldsonville CCS partnership with ExxonMobil. Despite the rally, natural gas price headwinds pose ongoing risks, with Q4 average costs rising to $3.20 per MMBtu from $2.43 year-ago. Mizuho downgraded to Underperform with a $100 target.
Apr 3CF Industries stock hits all-time high of $137.99 driven by strong nitrogen demand and geopolitical tailwinds.Positive▶
CF Industries' nitrogen fertilizer business is benefiting from healthy global demand and elevated prices amid Middle East tensions. Stock rallied 24% since early March and hit all-time high of $137.99. Q4 earnings with net sales up 23% YoY to $1.87B. Year-to-date returns stand at 77.4%.
Apr 2CF Industries reaches all-time high of $137.99 amid strong nitrogen demand and 59% Q1 rally.Positive▶
CF Industries Holdings surged to an all-time high of $137.99 USD, with year-to-date returns of 77.4% and a remarkable 59.4% gain over three months. Strong global nitrogen demand and higher fertilizer prices drove performance as net sales rose 23% YoY to $1.87 billion in Q4. The company has been removed from the FTSE All-World Index. BMO Capital Markets raised its price target from $115 to $140 with an 'outperform' rating. Operating cash flow improved 28.3% YoY to $539 million.
Sector Peers
| Company | Price | Day | 1M | Fwd P/E | Beta | Mkt Cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CTVACORTEVA | $80.92 | -0.11% | -3.9% | 20.0x | 0.68 | $54.4B |
| CFCF | $123.00 | -0.97% | -5.2% | 12.8x | 0.52 | $19.1B |
| MOSMOSAIC | $23.19 | -0.37% | -12.2% | 9.6x | 0.96 | $7.4B |
| LINLINDE | $508.66 | +1.50% | +0.3% | 25.7x | 0.79 | $232.2B |
| NEMNEWMONT | $108.91 | -1.96% | -1.5% | 9.8x | 0.47 | $118.6B |
| FCXFREEPORT | $56.78 | -1.74% | -5.4% | 15.7x | 1.47 | $82.9B |
Key Fundamentals
RSI (14-Day)
52-Week Range
Moving Averages
Price above both MAs — bullish structure.