United Parcel Service, Inc logo

United Parcel Service, IncNYSE: UPS

Industrials · Air Freight & Logistics

$107.46

-1.23%

Vol: 3.3M

Research Digest

Friday, May 1, 2026

Mixed

UPS Q1 2026 revenue beats but profit drops 25%; on track for $3B structural cost savings closing 51 parcel facilities.

UPS Q1 2026 consolidated revenues $21.2B, beating Wall Street, but net income fell 25% to $864M ($1.02 EPS) from $1.19B ($1.40 EPS) YoY. Achieved $600M Q1 cost savings from network efficiency program. Reaffirmed $3B FY26 structural cost target. Eliminating 51 parcel distribution centers in 2026, 25M labor hours reduced, 30,000 positions through downsizing/automation. Strategically shifted from low-margin Amazon (below 9% from 13%+). Small/medium business volume hit record 34.5% of US volume. CEO Carol Tome expects revenue/operating profit growth and margin expansion in Q2.

Price 50d 200d

Previous Market Intelligence

13 days
Apr 30UPS beats Q1 earnings estimates but stock drops 7.2% on margin compression and weaker outlook amid aggressive cost restructuring.Mixed

United Parcel Service reported Q1 2026 earnings of $1.07 per share beating consensus of $1.02, with revenue of $21.2 billion slightly above $20.99 billion expected. However, shares dropped 7.2% due to margin compression and cautious guidance. UPS plans to close 27 additional parcel facilities in 2026 as part of its $3 billion structural cost reduction target. The company continues reducing Amazon exposure with 500,000 fewer daily pieces and 30,000 job reductions through downsizing and automation.

Apr 16UPS completes nationwide RFID rollout across U.S. operations, targeting $3.5B in annual cost savingsPositive

United Parcel Service completed a $100+ million RFID network-wide rollout across its U.S. small-package network, embedding sensors in delivery vehicles, facilities and labels. The shift from barcode scanning to RFID sensing could reduce package scanning time and improve accuracy. UPS reported Q4 2025 revenue of $24.5B beating estimates, though full-year 2025 revenue declined 2.65% YoY. Company navigating facility closures and Teamsters labor disputes; planning to cut 30,000 operational jobs by 2026. Q1 2026 earnings scheduled for April 28.

Apr 15UPS Q1 2026 earnings report scheduled for April 28; company cutting 30,000 jobs and closing 24 locations as Amazon glide-down continues.Neutral

United Parcel Service will announce Q1 2026 results on April 28 at 6:00 a.m. ET. The company is undergoing significant restructuring, reducing low-margin shipments and cutting up to 30,000 jobs while closing 24 locations as Amazon volume glide-down continues. UPS implemented a 5.9% general rate increase and is investing over $100M in RFID technology. Analysts see low P/E valuation (12.9) as suggesting long-term investment potential.

Apr 14UPS navigates major restructuring with 30,000 job cuts; ceasefire eases fuel costs; Q1 earnings expected April 28.Mixed

UPS executing Efficiency Reimagined restructuring, eliminating 30,000 positions with $150,000 driver buyouts. Benefited from ceasefire reopening Strait of Hormuz and crude oil drop below $94/barrel. Reducing lower-margin Amazon volumes while pivoting to healthcare and B2B. Shares declined 15.2% in March but remain up 17% YTD. Q1 earnings April 28.

Apr 13United Parcel Service navigating restructuring headwinds; stock down 11.7% over past 5 days amid labor disputes and USPS competition.Negative

UPS announced 30,000 job cuts and a $150,000 buyout program for drivers amid facility closures and Teamsters labor disputes. Amazon's new USPS deal maintaining 80% of deliveries pressures UPS market share. Company targeting $3 billion in savings and pivoting toward higher-margin healthcare/B2B segments. Stock trading 16.4% below its 52-week high.

Apr 10UPS caps driver buyout program at 7,500 nationwide following Teamsters settlement agreement.Mixed

UPS agreed to limit Driver's Choice Program buyout offers to 7,500 drivers based on seniority. Settlement prevents additional severance programs until 2028 contract expiration. Stock at $97.57, up 0.4% with mixed analyst sentiment. JPMorgan lowered target to $106 from $107. Efficiency Reimagined initiative ongoing as largest network overhaul.

Apr 9UPS rises 2.6% as Iran ceasefire reduces fuel costs; company cuts 20,000 jobs and closes 73 facilities amid Amazon pressure.Mixed

United Parcel Service stock jumped 2.6% following U.S.-Iran two-week ceasefire, with WTI crude dropping below $94/barrel reducing global logistics network operating costs. Company reported Q4 adjusted EPS of $1.55 (below $1.57 estimate) with $21.2B revenue slightly ahead of forecasts but down 3% year-over-year. Teamsters union ratified new five-year collective bargaining agreement capping driver buyouts. UPS announced cutting 20,000 jobs and closing 73 packaging facilities due to Amazon shipment reductions and Amazon using USPS for over 1B annual deliveries. Multiple analysts lowered price targets: JPMorgan to $106 from $107, Citi to $118 from $120, BofA to $105 from $112.

Apr 8UPS accelerates network restructuring with 22 facility closures and Amazon volume decoupling strategyNegative

United Parcel Service announced plans to close 22 package sortation centers with union employees across 18 states including Dallas, Miami, Baltimore and Atlanta. The company is executing its "Network of the Future" strategy to improve profitability amid lower parcel volumes. UPS is decoupling 50% of Amazon business by June due to unprofitability and has agreed to outsource last-mile delivery to USPS for economy shipments. Recent Teamsters settlement limits driver buyout schemes, and the company faces rising diesel costs impacting margins. Stock valued at $97.17 with market cap of $82.52B.

Apr 7UPS caps driver buyouts at 7,500 after Teamsters settlement; Q1 earnings decline 25.5% expectedNegative

UPS agreed to limit driver buyout program to 7,500 nationwide per Teamsters settlement (vs open-ended original plan). $150K early retirement payments for long-haul/package car drivers based on seniority. No additional severance until National Master Agreement expires 2028. Company reducing low-margin Amazon deliveries 50%+ by June targeting higher-margin focus. Network of the Future targets $3.5B annual savings. Ground Saver service launched. Q1 2026 expected EPS $1.11 (-25.5% YoY), revenue $21.09B (-2.09% YoY). Stock $97.16 (-1.04%), analyst consensus Buy with $110.95 PT (+13.32% upside).

Apr 6UPS reaches Teamster settlement on driver buyouts; executes major restructuring with 30K job cutsPositive

United Parcel Service reached settlement with Teamsters union on April 5, 2026, capping driver severance payouts at 7,500 across all job classifications nationwide. UPS is executing major restructuring: cutting up to 30,000 jobs, closing 24 additional facilities, opening $100M high-tech hub in Taiwan, and reducing dependence on low-margin Amazon deliveries. Company raised fuel surcharges amid Iran conflict costs. UPS expects 2026 revenue decline in H1 with inflection in H2 as Amazon glide-down completes. 2025 earnings guidance: $89.7B revenue, 9.6% adjusted operating margin. UPS maintains 6.5% dividend yield and management supports payout. Stock prices below $120. Analyst consensus is Buy with $110.95 PT (+13.3% upside). The restructuring positions UPS for profitable growth post-2026 despite near-term headwinds.

Apr 3United Parcel Service faces operational headwinds: 22 facility closures announced, labor disputes, and 15.2% March stock decline.Negative

United Parcel Service reported Q4 2025 revenue of $24.5B with adjusted EPS of $2.38 but faces significant operational challenges. Company announced plans to close 22 sortation centers in 18 states. Labor disputes with Teamsters union and halted $150k driver buyout program pressuring margins. CFO announced 2026 dividend freeze. Shares declined 15.2% in March.

Apr 2UPS plans to close 22 package sortation centers as part of network restructuring and automation strategy amid declining parcel volumes and union disputes.Negative

UPS announced plans to close 22 package sortation centers with union employees in 18 states including Dallas, Miami, Baltimore, and Atlanta. This aggressive restructuring aims to improve profitability by matching capacity and labor with lower parcel volumes. The company faces labor challenges from the Teamsters Union and paused its driver buyout program due to union pushback. Q4 2025 revenue was $24.5 billion with adjusted EPS of $2.38 (beating $2.20 estimate), but full-year 2025 revenue declined 2.65% to $88.66 billion with earnings down 3.63%. The company halted dividend increases to stabilize finances amid higher fuel costs.

Apr 1UPS identifies 22 package facility closures and accelerates Amazon decoupling as part of major network restructuring.Mixed

UPS announced plans to close 22 package sortation centers across 18 states as part of its Efficiency Reimagined initiative. The company is on track to decouple 50% of its Amazon business by June. Q4 2025 adjusted EPS of $2.38 beat the $2.20 estimate.

Sector Peers

CompanyPriceDay1MFwd P/EBetaMkt Cap
FDXFEDEX$394.19-2.26%+12.4%18.0x1.29$96.2B
UPSUNITED$107.46-1.23%+12.0%13.7x1.10$92.4B
CHRWC.H.$177.16-2.56%+7.6%25.1x0.94$21.6B
EXPDEXPEDITORS$147.06-0.56%+1.7%22.9x1.08$19.7B
CATCATERPILLAR$890.93+0.09%+23.4%31.8x1.52$414.2B
GEGENERAL$287.56-0.82%+0.4%33.4x1.43$302.9B

Key Fundamentals

Market Cap$92.4B
P/E (TTM)17.6
Forward P/E13.7
Beta1.10
Div Yield615.00%
Prev Close$108.80

RSI (14-Day)

67Neutral
0305070100

52-Week Range

$82.00$107.46$122.41
From High-12.2%
From Low+31.0%

Moving Averages

50d SMA
$104.01+3.3%
200d SMA
$95.52+12.5%

Price above both MAs — bullish structure.

Historical Returns

1W
+2.0%
1M
+13.2%
3M
+5.1%
6M
+24.3%
1Y
+18.3%
YTD
+7.9%

Volume

Today3.3M
20d Avg4.9M
Ratio0.68x