C.H. Robinson Worldwide, IncNasdaq: CHRW
Industrials · Air Freight & Logistics
$189.42
+6.34%
Vol: 74K
Research Digest
Monday, June 15, 2026
No significant overnight updates
No material news in the last 48 hours.
Previous Market Intelligence
13 daysJun 14UBS lifted its C.H. Robinson price target to $230 on favorable freight trends as the logistics broker's AI-driven productivity story gains traction.Positive▶
UBS raised its price target on C.H. Robinson to $230, citing favorable freight trends and the company's Lean AI transformation that is driving market-share gains and cost-of-hire advantages. The stock recently traded around $189, up roughly 63% over the past 12 months, and now carries an elevated P/E near 39. Q1 2026 results (reported earlier) showed adjusted diluted EPS up 15.4% to $1.35, with North American Surface Transportation volume flat versus a 6.2% decline in the Cass Freight Index. The bull case rests on continued share gains and AI-driven margin expansion; the bear case is the stretched valuation relative to peers, which leaves little room for execution missteps if freight demand softens. Analysts remain divided on whether the premium multiple is justified.
May 21C.H. Robinson jumps 5.7% as Jefferies upgrades to Buy with $200 PT on tech leverage thesisPositive▶
On May 20, 2026, CHRW shares jumped 5.7% after Jefferies upgraded to Buy from Hold and raised PT to $200 from $195, citing a tech and productivity transformation in early innings where the platform can support 10x current volume without significant headcount increase. Jefferies also flagged favorable regulatory environment for large brokers and balance sheet strength positioning CHRW as a potential consolidator. On May 15, Citi Ariel Rosa also upgraded to Buy with $199 PT. C.H. Robinson released its 2025 Sustainability Report on May 19 and commented on the Supreme Court Montgomery v. Caribe Transport decision affecting state-law claims against federally licensed brokers. Risk: May 4 reaction (-8.9%) to Amazon expanding logistics outside its marketplace highlights structural competitive threat.
May 20C.H. Robinson responds to Supreme Court ruling on broker liability May 14, shares still up 3.8% to $169.56 on May 18Mixed▶
C.H. Robinson responded to the May 14 U.S. Supreme Court decision in Montgomery v. Caribe Transport, which opens the door for third-party trucking brokers to be held liable in accident-related lawsuits — a significant legal headwind for the freight brokerage industry. The company expressed disappointment but commitment to safety and compliance. Despite the ruling, CHRW shares rose 3.8% to $169.56 on May 18. The 2026 Annual Meeting on May 7 saw 93.4% of shares represented; shareholders elected ten directors and ratified Deloitte as auditor. Recent analyst actions include Baird raising PT to $230 from $203, Evercore ISI to $222 from $205, and BofA adding CHRW to its US 1 List. CHRW declared a $0.63 quarterly dividend with June 5 ex-date. Consensus is Buy among 20 analysts with $185.42 PT.
May 19No significant overnight updatesNeutral▶
No material news in the last 48 hours.
May 18C.H. Robinson Q1 EPS $1.22 beat (revenue $4.01B), added to BofA US 1 list; Supreme Court ruling on broker liability creates modest overhangMixed▶
C.H. Robinson reported Q1 2026 revenue of $4.01B, net income of $147.23M, and diluted EPS of $1.22 (vs $1.11 prior year), beating EPS by 6.81%. The May 7 annual meeting saw shareholders approve all proposals including the election of ten directors with 93.4% turnout. On May 14 the U.S. Supreme Court ruled that third-party trucking brokers can be held liable in accident lawsuits, but Citi Research and others see the financial impact as modest given CHRW's balance sheet. BofA added CHRW to its US 1 list of top investment ideas. A $0.63 cash dividend was declared with an ex-date of June 5. Most recent analyst rating is Buy with a $230 target.
May 15C.H. Robinson stock dropped 2.87% on May 14 announcing Wolfe conference participation; shareholders approved board on May 7 and dividend of $0.63 declaredMixed▶
C.H. Robinson (CHRW) stock fell 2.87% after announcing participation in the May 21, 2026 Wolfe Research Global Transportation & Industrials Conference fireside chat at 9:10 a.m. ET, with stock trading between $150.40 and $165.12 on May 15, 2026. On May 7, 2026 the company held its annual meeting with shareholders approving all proposals: ten directors re-elected, executive comp approved on advisory basis, Deloitte ratified as auditor, and an amended ESPP backed, with 93.4% turnout representing 110.1M shares. The board declared a regular quarterly dividend of $0.63 per share payable July 2, 2026 to shareholders of record June 5, 2026. Q1 2026 EPS came in at $1.35 (+6.81% surprise vs estimate) on revenue of $4.01B (-2.31% miss). Stifel maintained Buy on May 1 raising PT to $207 from $202, and CHRW was added to Bank of America's US 1 investment ideas list. Risk: headcount declines amid automation and AI reshape brokerage operations, and ongoing CBS/FreightWaves freight-safety coverage continues to weigh on perception.
May 14C.H. Robinson tumbles 8.9% as Amazon opens supply chain to outside businesses, creating new logistics rivalNegative▶
C.H. Robinson shares fell 8.9% intraday after Amazon announced it was officially opening its supply chain network — including AI-driven demand forecasting and inventory management — to businesses outside its marketplace, creating a major new freight competitor. The stock has now logged a 5-day cumulative loss of -14%. May 7 virtual annual meeting elected ten directors and ratified Deloitte. Q1 2026 adjusted EPS rose 15% YoY to $1.35, beating estimates with margin expansion; the $6 EPS 2026 target was reaffirmed. CHRW was added to BofA US 1 list. $0.63 cash dividend declared with June 5 ex-date. Risk: Amazon Supply Chain entry threatens long-term broker share.
May 13C.H. Robinson shareholders approved all 2026 proxy items on May 7 and the company was added to Bank of America's US 1 investment list amid a 14% recent 5-day pullback.Mixed▶
C.H. Robinson held its 2026 Annual Meeting on May 7 with 93.4% turnout; shareholders re-elected all directors, ratified Deloitte as auditor, approved say-on-pay, and backed the ESPP. The company declared a $0.63 quarterly dividend payable July 2. Bank of America added CHRW to its US 1 investment list. Q1 2026 adjusted EPS rose 15% to $1.35 with margins expanding; revenue dipped 0.8% to $4.01B. Management reaffirmed a $6 EPS target for 2026. However, the stock saw a 5-day sell-off of ~14% in early May.
May 12C.H. Robinson stock sold off ~14% over 5 days into early May despite Q1 EPS beat ($1.22) and Bank of America adding CHRW to its US 1 list.Mixed▶
C.H. Robinson Worldwide cumulative losses hit -14% over a 5-day stretch in early May 2026, wiping ~$3.3B in market cap to ~$19B amid concerns over a soft freight environment and competitive pressure from Amazon. Q1 2026 results showed revenue of $4.01B and diluted EPS of $1.22 (vs $1.11 prior year), with adjusted EPS +15% and operating-margin expansion from Lean AI initiatives. Annual shareholder meeting on May 7 elected ten directors and ratified Deloitte. The company declared a $0.63 quarterly dividend (ex-date June 5). Bank of America added CHRW to its US 1 list. Baird set a $230 PT and Stifel raised to $207 (Buy).
May 11C.H. Robinson down 14% over five days as Amazon supply chain expansion and SCOTUS broker-liability case shake investor confidence despite Q1 EPS beat.Negative▶
C.H. Robinson shares dropped 6.4% on May 4 after Amazon announced opening its supply chain services (with AI-driven demand forecasting and inventory management) to external businesses — a direct competitive threat. The stock fell 14% over a 5-day stretch with $3.3B market-cap loss, settling near $19B. Q1 2026 adjusted EPS rose 15% to $1.35 but revenue declined 0.8% to $4.01B; the company reaffirmed its $6 EPS 2026 target. CHRW completed a buyback of 1.23M shares for $213.35M. A Supreme Court case could reshape freight broker liability. Consensus rates Moderate Buy with average PT around $192.27. A $0.63 dividend has ex-date June 5.
May 8C.H. Robinson shares fell 8.9% on May 4 after Amazon announced opening its supply chain network to external businesses, creating new competition.Mixed▶
Amazon announcement to open its supply chain network to businesses outside its marketplace on May 4, 2026, triggered an 8.9% stock decline. Meanwhile, C.H. Robinson raised its 2026 operating income target on strong Q1 results with adjusted EPS of $1.35 (beating consensus of $1.23), though headline revenue declined 0.8% to $4.01 billion. Barclays raised price target to $210 and Citi to $199 on April 30. The company declared a quarterly dividend of $0.63 per share. Risk: intensifying competition from Amazon logistics expansion could pressure brokerage volumes.
May 7C.H. Robinson raised 2026 operating income guidance to $965M-$1.04B range on April 29; Amazon supply chain expansion announcement triggered 8.9% May 4 decline.Mixed▶
C.H. Robinson reported strong Q1 2026 results with revenue of $4.01B and diluted EPS of $1.22, representing 15% year-over-year adjusted EPS growth. The company raised its 2026 operating income target to $965M-$1.04B despite market headwinds, citing benefits from its Lean AI strategy. However, shares fell sharply on May 4 after Amazon announced opening its supply chain network to external businesses. Analyst Raymond James raised its price target to $210, while Stifel Nicolaus moved to $207.
May 6C.H. Robinson Q1 margin expansion to 3.6% from 2.6% offsets revenue miss; Amazon logistics threat weighsMixed▶
C.H. Robinson reported Q1 earnings with adjusted EPS of $1.35, up 15%, but sales flat year-over-year at $4.01 billion (below estimates). Net margin improved significantly to 3.6% from 2.6% year-ago. Stock fell 8.9% after Amazon announced opening supply chain to outside partners. Supreme Court Montgomery v. C.H. Robinson ruling pending, potentially redefining freight broker liability. Despite positive margin story, competition and legal uncertainty pressure shares. Multiple analyst price target increases announced.
Sector Peers
| Company | Price | Day | 1M | Fwd P/E | Beta | Mkt Cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FDXFEDEX | $344.20 | -11.50% | +5.2% | 17.4x | 1.30 | $92.8B |
| UPSUNITED | $109.83 | +11.78% | +2.9% | 12.3x | 1.05 | $83.5B |
| CHRWC.H. | $189.42 | +6.34% | +5.0% | 24.3x | 0.94 | $21.0B |
| EXPDEXPEDITORS | $163.83 | +4.22% | +0.3% | 23.0x | 1.03 | $20.6B |
| CATCATERPILLAR | $933.44 | +7.79% | +0.2% | 29.1x | 1.63 | $398.8B |
| GEGENERAL | $346.55 | +14.84% | +5.5% | 34.8x | 1.35 | $315.3B |
Key Fundamentals
RSI (14-Day)
52-Week Range
Moving Averages
Price above both MAs — bullish structure.