Dollar Tree, IncNasdaq: DLTR
Consumer Staples · Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail
$111.70
+4.97%
Vol: 2.2M
Research Digest
Friday, June 19, 2026
Dollar Tree stock up 27% over the past month after a strong Q1 FY2026 beat — EPS of $1.74 vs $1.53 est — and raised full-year guidance to $6.70–$7.10 adjusted EPS.
Dollar Tree reported Q1 FY2026 net sales of $5.0 billion (+7.2% YoY) with comparable store sales up 3.5%, beating EPS estimates by 13.7% at $1.74 vs. $1.53 expected; adjusted operating margin expanded 110 basis points to 9.5%. The company raised full-year FY2026 guidance to net sales of $20.5B–$20.7B, comparable store sales growth of 3%–4%, and adjusted diluted EPS of $6.70–$7.10. Following the completed sale of Family Dollar, Dollar Tree is now a single-banner concept, and management plans to consolidate SG&A reporting to one line starting Q1 FY2027. About 500 stores were converted to the new format in Q1, outperforming legacy locations by a meaningful margin. Q2 guidance calls for adj. EPS of $1.00–$1.15 and comps of 3%–4%; risk is whether tariff-driven cost inflation pressures margins in the back half.
Previous Market Intelligence
13 daysJun 18No significant overnight updatesNeutral▶
No material news in the last 48 hours.
Jun 17No significant overnight updatesNeutral▶
No material news in the last 48 hours.
Jun 16No significant overnight updatesNeutral▶
No material news in the last 48 hours.
Jun 15No significant overnight updatesNeutral▶
No material news in the last 48 hours.
Jun 14No significant overnight updatesNeutral▶
No material news in the last 48 hours.
May 21Dollar Tree shares slide 5.5% to $89.05 as Evercore cuts PT to $140 ahead of May 28 Q1 earningsNegative▶
Dollar Tree shares fell 5.5% to $89.05 on May 12, 2026, with year-to-date declines exceeding 30% amid challenging discount-retail dynamics. Evercore ISI lowered its PT to $140 from $150 on May 18, Bernstein cut to $115 from $117 on May 12, and Truist cut to $142 from $156 while keeping Buy. The company opened a new 1-million-square-foot distribution center in Arizona on May 14 supporting ~700 stores. Q1 2026 results will be released May 28 before market open, with CEO Mike Creedon and CFO Stewart Glendinning hosting the call at 8 a.m. ET. Risk: declining sales, high debt levels, and broader retail pressure cited by analysts.
May 20Dollar Tree sets May 28 Q1 earnings as Evercore and Bernstein cut price targets amid 30%+ YTD declineNegative▶
Dollar Tree announced on May 7, 2026 that it will report Q1 fiscal 2026 results before the open on May 28 with CEO Mike Creedon and CFO Stewart Glendinning hosting the call. Shares plunged 5.5% to $89.05 on May 12 amid a challenging environment with the stock down over 30% YTD. Evercore ISI cut its target to $140 from $150 on May 14, and Bernstein lowered to $115 from $117 on May 12. The company opened a new 1-million-square-foot Arizona distribution center on May 12 and added 400 stores in Q1. Bear case: 17-analyst Hold consensus with 30% recommending Sell or Strong Sell, reflecting consumer pressure and margin uncertainty heading into the Q1 print.
May 19No significant overnight updates ahead of May 28 Q1 fiscal 2026 earnings releaseNeutral▶
No material news in the last 48 hours. Dollar Tree confirmed it will report Q1 fiscal 2026 results before market open on May 28, 2026, with CEO Mike Creedon and CFO Stewart Glendinning hosting the call. Recent analyst actions outside the 48-hour window include Evercore ISI cutting its target to $140 from $150 (May 14) and Bernstein trimming to $115 from $117 (May 12).
May 18Dollar Tree shares fell 5.5% to $89.05 on May 12, 2026 as Bernstein cut PT to $115 ahead of May 28 Q1 earningsNegative▶
Dollar Tree shares dropped 5.5% to $89.05 on May 12, 2026 amid a challenging market environment with YTD declines over 30%. Bernstein lowered its price target to $115 from $117 on May 12. The company set its Q1 fiscal 2026 earnings release for May 28, 2026, before market open, with CEO Mike Creedon and CFO Stewart Glendinning to host the call. Dollar Tree announced the opening of a 1-million-square-foot Arizona distribution center on May 14 and continues to expand with 400 new store openings. Consensus rating remains Hold across 17 analysts with a 2026 price target of $123.35.
May 15Dollar Tree shares fell 5.5% to $89.05 on May 12 ahead of Q1 earnings May 28Negative▶
Dollar Tree shares dropped 5.5% to $89.05 on May 12, 2026 amid a challenging market environment with YTD declines over 30%. The company announced May 7 it will report Q1 fiscal 2026 results before market open on May 28, 2026, with CEO Mike Creedon and CFO Stewart Glendinning hosting the earnings call. Dollar Tree previously announced a $2.5B share buyback authorization. The retailer is opening 400 new stores demonstrating growth in discount retail. As of May 15, shares were trading at $90.95. Bernstein recently lowered PT to $115 from $117. Analyst consensus is Hold with $123.35 implied price target. Risk: declining stock momentum despite store expansion.
May 14Dollar Tree shares dropped 5.5% on May 12 to $89.05 ahead of Q1 FY26 earnings release scheduled for May 28, with year-to-date losses near 30%.Negative▶
Dollar Tree confirmed it will report Q1 fiscal 2026 results before the market opens on May 28, 2026, with CEO Mike Creedon and CFO Stewart Glendinning hosting the call. On May 12, 2026, the stock fell 5.5% to $89.05, extending a year-to-date decline of roughly 25-30% amid concerns over discount-retail demand and tariff exposure. Fidelity (FMR LLC) filed a Schedule 13G/A disclosing a 9.9% stake (19.46M shares), signaling continued institutional interest. The 17-analyst consensus remains Hold as mixed fundamentals offset constructive FY26 guidance and the multi-price store rollout. GuruFocus pegs GF Value at $148.85 versus $89.05, flagging a 40% discount, but execution risk remains the key overhang.
May 13Dollar Tree set its Q1 2026 earnings call for May 28 and named Daniel Delrosario SVP of IR/Treasurer as shares slid to $94, down 25.9% YTD.Negative▶
Dollar Tree announced on May 7, 2026, that it will report Q1 fiscal 2026 results (quarter ended May 2) before market open on Thursday, May 28, 2026, with CEO Mike Creedon and CFO Stewart Glendinning hosting the call. The company previously guided Q1 net sales of $4.9B-$5.0B and adjusted EPS of $1.45-$1.60. Daniel Delrosario was appointed SVP of Investor Relations and Treasurer. Shares traded around $94.24 on May 11, down 8.8% over 7 days, 12.7% over 30 days, and 25.9% year-to-date, near the lower end of the 52-week range of $84.71-$142.40. Dollar Tree continues its multi-price strategy transition with plans to open ~400 new stores and close ~75 in 2026. Risk: ongoing execution concerns around the multi-price format rollout and inventory management have raised analyst concerns about core customer retention; consensus rating is Hold per 17 analysts.
May 12Dollar Tree shares slide to $94.24 on May 11, down 8.8% over a week and 25.9% YTD, as multi-price strategy execution concerns mount ahead of May 28 Q1 print.Negative▶
Dollar Tree closed at $94.24 on May 11, 2026, extending an 8.8% one-week decline, 12.7% one-month drop, and 25.9% YTD slide as investors grow wary heading into the May 28 Q1 FY2026 earnings release. The company is navigating a multi-price strategy transition under CEO Mike Creedon and CFO Stewart Glendinning, but execution concerns and inventory pressure on core low-income shoppers are weighing on sentiment. Analyst consensus sits at Hold across 17 firms as of May 5. Bear case: tariff/cost pressure and weak discount-retail traffic could force another guidance reset on the May 28 call.
Sector Peers
| Company | Price | Day | 1M | Fwd P/E | Beta | Mkt Cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMTWALMART | $117.25 | -0.75% | -2.4% | 34.0x | 0.60 | $890.0B |
| COSTCOSTCO | $952.10 | -1.40% | +0.5% | 42.1x | 0.87 | $422.0B |
| TGTTARGET | $131.02 | +2.51% | -2.8% | 14.6x | 0.98 | $59.1B |
| DGDOLLAR | $113.34 | +4.28% | +0.6% | 14.8x | 0.25 | $26.1B |
| DLTRDOLLAR | $111.70 | +4.97% | +1.2% | 16.2x | 0.65 | $23.8B |
| KOCOCA | $79.50 | -0.54% | +1.8% | 24.1x | 0.35 | $362.0B |
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Price above both MAs — bullish structure.