Dollar General CorporationNYSE: DG
Consumer Staples · Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail
$113.34
+4.28%
Vol: 3.6M
Research Digest
Friday, June 19, 2026
Dollar General raised full-year 2026 EPS guidance to $7.20-$7.45 after Q1 beat, with Barclays and Bernstein maintaining positive ratings despite modest price target trims.
Dollar General reported Q1 2026 results with revenue of $10.79 billion (up 3.4% year-over-year, in line with expectations) and GAAP EPS of $2.00, beating consensus by 6.2%, with strong operating margin expansion offsetting headwinds from severe winter weather and higher fuel costs. The company raised its full-year 2026 diluted EPS guidance to $7.20-$7.45 and increased same-store sales and net sales growth outlook. Barclays lowered its price target modestly to $148 from $151 on June 4 while maintaining Overweight, and Bernstein raised its target to $149 from $146 on June 3 with Outperform. Dollar General also maintained its quarterly dividend of $0.59 per share and added Gregory H. Hicks to its board of directors. The raised guidance is a clear positive, though the modest analyst PT moves suggest the beat was largely in line with revised expectations after prior-year struggles.
Previous Market Intelligence
13 daysJun 18No significant overnight updatesNeutral▶
No material news in the last 48 hours.
Jun 17No significant overnight updatesNeutral▶
No material news in the last 48 hours.
Jun 16No significant overnight updatesNeutral▶
No material news in the last 48 hours.
Jun 15No significant overnight updatesNeutral▶
No material news in the last 48 hours.
Jun 14No significant overnight updatesNeutral▶
No material news in the last 48 hours.
May 21Dollar General testing historically bullish trendline ahead of May 21 earningsMixed▶
Dollar General shares rose 3.8% on May 18, 2026 to $106.23 after recent weakness (down ~20% YTD, ~32% over three months) tested a historically bullish trendline that has marked positive one-month returns 78% of the time over the last decade. The stock fell 7.64% on May 11 from $113.29 to $104.63 before rebounding. Earnings are scheduled for May 21, 2026, with analysts modeling Q2 EPS of $1.90 on revenue of $10.83B. The setup is binary: a beat could trigger sharp short-cover rally, but continued miss could reset valuation lower. Recent private-label launch (simmer & stir kitchen brand) underscores management margin-expansion playbook.
May 20Dollar General shares fell 9.1% on May 12 amid consumer sentiment concerns, partly recovering to $106 as the company launched simmer & stir private-label brand.Negative▶
Dollar General shares dropped 7.6% on May 11 and another 9.1% on May 12 to $102.98 as surging gas prices and record-low consumer sentiment pressured the retail sector, before rebounding 3.8% on May 18 to $106.23. The company launched simmer & stir, a private-label kitchen brand with ~30 items priced at $12 or less, rolling out to ~16,000 stores. DG also expanded its in-store audio retail media network with QSIC and AI-powered localized messaging, doubling footprint to ~12,000 stores by Q2 2026. Q1 fiscal 2026 results are scheduled for June 2. Stock remains down 32% over three months despite analysts citing potential undervaluation at $147 fair value.
May 19No significant overnight updatesNeutral▶
No material news in the last 48 hours.
May 18Dollar General shares plunge 9.1% to $102.98 on May 12 as record-low consumer sentiment hits discount retailersNegative▶
Dollar General stock fell 7.6% on May 11 and another 9.1% to $102.98 on May 12, extending YTD declines to ~21.7%. No company-specific news drove the move; instead, the preliminary May 2026 University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment reading of 48.2 - the lowest ever recorded - weighed on discount retail. The company launched simmer & stir, a private-label kitchen brand with nearly 30 tools priced at $12 or less, rolling out to ~16,000 stores. Q1 FY2026 earnings will be released June 2, with management guiding same-store sales in the low 2% range (impacted by February storm closures). Analyst consensus remains constructive with mean target around $146 (29% above current).
May 15Dollar General shares plunged 9.1% to $102.98 on May 12 as preliminary May 2026 University of Michigan consumer sentiment fell to record-low 48.2; YTD down 21.7%.Negative▶
Dollar General fell 7.6% on May 11 then plunged 9.1% to $102.98 on May 12, 2026, with no company-specific catalyst. The selloff was driven by the University of Michigan preliminary May 2026 Consumer Sentiment reading of 48.2 - the lowest ever recorded in the survey's history - signaling severe headwinds for discount retail. Shares now down 21.7% YTD trading at lowest since Dec 4. Q1 fiscal 2026 results to be reported June 2 with management guidance for low 2% same-store sales growth, held back by storm closures. DG is expanding retail media via partnership with Kevel and The Trade Desk (managed-service testing in June, broader rollout Q3 2026). 19-analyst consensus remains Buy. Risk: continued consumer sentiment deterioration could compress Q1 results.
May 14Dollar General plunged 9.1% to $102.98 on May 12 amid record-low consumer sentiment and gas above $4 from Iran conflictNegative▶
DG fell 9.1% on May 12 to $102.98, extending YTD decline to 21.7%, after dropping 7.6% on May 11. Selloff driven by University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment hitting 48.2 - all-time low since 1952 - and gas prices surging above $4/gallon as Iran conflict disrupted energy markets. No company-specific news; broader retail weakness on consumer squeeze fears. Q1 FY2026 earnings due June 2. Analysts maintain Moderate Buy with $144 mean PT (29% upside). Company expanding AI-driven retail media via Kevel/Trade Desk partnership testing in June. Risk: low-income consumer pullback and shrink/inventory issues.
May 13Dollar General plunged 9.1% on May 12 to $102.98 after May consumer sentiment hit all-time low of 48.2 and gas prices surged above $4 on Iran tensions.Negative▶
Dollar General shares fell 9.1% on May 12 to $102.98 after dropping 7.6% on May 11, with no company-specific news driving the moves. The University of Michigan preliminary May 2026 Consumer Sentiment reading came in at 48.2, the lowest ever recorded since 1952, and gas prices surged above $4/gallon as the Iran conflict disrupted energy markets. The stock is down 21.7% YTD and trades at a 23% discount to GF Value. Q1 FY26 earnings are scheduled for June 2. Analyst consensus PT remains ~$146 (29% upside).
May 12Dollar General shares fell 7.6% on May 11, 2026, to $104.63 as surging gas prices threatened low-income consumer spending ahead of June 2 Q1 earnings.Negative▶
Dollar General stock plunged 7.6% on May 11, 2026, closing at $104.63 as concerns over surging gas prices squeezing household budgets weighed on discretionary retail. The stock is down 20.5% year-to-date and trades in a 52-week range of $86.25-$158.23. The company plans to release Q1 fiscal 2026 results on June 2, 2026, covering the quarter ending May 1. DG maintains a Buy consensus rating from 19 analysts with a GF Value estimate of $133.74, suggesting 21.8% undervaluation. Plans remain to open 450 new rural stores in 2026.
Sector Peers
| Company | Price | Day | 1M | Fwd P/E | Beta | Mkt Cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMTWALMART | $117.25 | -0.75% | — | 34.0x | 0.60 | $890.0B |
| COSTCOSTCO | $952.10 | -1.40% | — | 42.1x | 0.87 | $422.0B |
| TGTTARGET | $131.02 | +2.51% | — | 14.6x | 0.98 | $59.1B |
| DGDOLLAR | $113.34 | +4.28% | — | 14.8x | 0.25 | $26.1B |
| DLTRDOLLAR | $111.70 | +4.97% | — | 16.2x | 0.65 | $23.8B |
| KOCOCA | $79.50 | -0.54% | — | 24.1x | 0.35 | $362.0B |
Key Fundamentals
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52-Week Range
Moving Averages
Price below 200d MA — bearish structure.