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Miran's Hawkish Shift, Stronger Economy Fuel Fed Rate Path Uncertainty; Gold Rises

Story Thread|Fed's Inflation Battle Amid Global Risks Persists

Araverus Team|Thursday, February 19, 2026 at 7:46 PM

Araverus Team

Feb 19, 2026 · 7:46 PM

Fed · FOMC · Interest Rates · Monetary Policy

Fed FOMC Interest Rates Monetary Policy

The article reports on the recently released FOMC minutes from February 18, 2026, revealing a Federal Reserve confident in labor market stability but divided and uncertain regarding the inflation outlook and future rate path.

Staff economic forecasts were stronger than previous projections, anticipating real GDP growth to outpace potential through 2028 and a gradual decline in the unemployment rate. However, the inflation forecast was slightly higher, with upside risks noted.

Discussions among FOMC members highlighted persistent elevated core goods inflation, partly due to tariffs, while disinflation continued for core services. Participants were split on monetary policy, with some advocating for further rate cuts if inflation declines, others preferring to hold steady, and a few even suggesting potential upward adjustments if inflation persists.

Notably, Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran and Christopher Waller dissented, preferring a 1/4 percentage point rate cut at the meeting. Gold prices reacted positively to the minutes, trading near session highs.

Jeffrey Roach of LPL Financial commented on the Fed's optimistic growth projections and building financial stability risks.

Thread Timeline: Fed's Inflation Battle Amid Global Risks Persists

Show 25 older articles...

Mar 27, 2026Paulson: Iran War Challenges Fed's Inflation Fight

Mar 29, 2026Fed Officials Split on Rate Path Forward

Mar 30, 2026

Fed Cuts Push 10-Year Yield Below 4%

Mar 31, 2026Energy Costs, Rates Hit Pool Corp.

Mar 31, 2026Schmid Urges Fed Action on Iran War Inflation

Apr 1, 2026Treasury Yields Climb, T. Rowe Price Underweights Bonds

Apr 1, 2026Inflation Hiccup Fails to Derail Market Rally

Apr 2, 2026NFP Data Defines Q1 Direction for Treasurys, Dollar

Apr 2, 2026US Jobless Claims Plunge, Labor Market Tightens

Apr 3, 2026US Economy Adds 178,000 Jobs; Fed Holds Rates

Apr 3, 2026

US Services Sector Contracts First Time Since 2023

Apr 3, 2026

Healthcare Sector Drives Consistent Job Growth, Economic Resilience

Apr 3, 2026Strong Jobs Report Pushes Treasury Yields Higher, Fed Holds

Apr 6, 2026Fed Cuts Rates; Gold Rises, Silver Hits Peak

Apr 7, 2026Fed's Jefferson: Economy Stabilizes, Inflation Nears 2% Target

Apr 8, 2026Gold, Silver Surge on Dollar Weakness

Apr 9, 2026Gold Surges 0.6% on Iran Tensions, Inflation

Apr 9, 2026Fed Holds Rates Steady; Middle East Clouds Outlook

Apr 9, 2026US Jobless Claims Jump to 231,000, Exceeding Forecasts

Apr 9, 2026February Inflation Stays High, Fed Rate Hike Concerns Mount

Apr 10, 2026Consumer Sentiment Hits Record Low 47.6 in April

Apr 10, 2026Iran War Drives March Inflation, Fed Holds Rates

Apr 10, 2026Pre-War Inflation High; Fed Rate Hikes Expected

Apr 12, 2026S&P 500 Earnings Beat, AI Investment Scrutiny Rises

Apr 13, 2026Oil Fears Push Treasury Yields, Reprice Fed Cuts

Apr 14, 2026Wholesale Prices Surge, Reaching Three-Year High

Apr 14, 2026US Economy Stumbles Pre-War, Inflation Risks Rise

Apr 15, 2026NY Manufacturing Rebounds, Inflationary Pressures Accelerate

Apr 15, 2026Economists: $138 Oil Price Triggers Recession Risk

Apr 16, 2026US Jobless Claims Fall, Inflation Surges, Fed Holds Rates

Read More On

Fed’s Miran Now Sees a Less Accommodative Rate Pathwsj.com

FOMC minutes show a Fed confident in labor stability but uncertain about inflation, and increasingly divided on the rate path - KITCOkitco.com

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