
Federal Reserve · Geopolitics · Gold · Inflation
Gold declined 0.7% to $4,785 an ounce as traders assessed the uncertain prospects for a negotiated settlement to the Iran war, which has disrupted global energy supplies and intensified inflation risks, while also monitoring US President Donald Trump's pick for Federal Reserve chair.
Bullion fell as much as 1% earlier, trading below $4,800 an ounce. US President Donald Trump stated Vice President JD Vance is prepared for negotiations in Islamabad, but Iran has not confirmed its delegation, with a two-week ceasefire expiring Wednesday evening and unlikely to be extended.
This geopolitical uncertainty, coupled with the ongoing energy-supply shock from the eight-week Middle East war, intensifies inflationary pressures, making central banks more inclined to maintain or raise interest rates, a significant headwind for non-yielding gold, which has lost about 10% since late February. Investors are also awaiting Kevin Warsh's Senate Banking Committee testimony for the Federal Reserve chair position, with any indication of monetary easing supporting gold, while a cautious stance on inflation would be negative.
Marc Loeffert of Heraeus Precious Metals GmbH notes that while volatility persists, gold retains its long-term fundamental attraction as a store of purchasing power.
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