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Marathon Petroleum CorporationNYSE: MPC

Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

$242.87

-0.71%

Vol: 2.0M

Research Digest

Friday, June 19, 2026

Neutral

No significant overnight updates

No material news in the last 48 hours.

Price 50d 200d

Previous Market Intelligence

13 days
Jun 18Marathon Petroleum slid on June 18 as refining shares softened on a crude pullback, even as Wells Fargo and Morgan Stanley raised price targets.Mixed

On June 18, 2026, Marathon Petroleum traded in a $244.04-$250.52 range as refining stocks weakened amid a crude-oil pullback and investor reassessment of 2026 supply/demand, with the selloff tied to broad energy/refining sentiment rather than a company-specific event. Despite the dip, MPC remains up roughly 54-60% year-to-date. Wells Fargo's Sam Margolin raised his target to $344 from $335 (Overweight) and Morgan Stanley lifted its target to $265 from $233 (Overweight), reflecting constructive views on refining margins; some analysts also note the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz could support margins. MPC operates the largest U.S. refining system (~3M bpd across 13 refineries) plus midstream and renewable diesel. The bear case is that refining margins are volatile and crude-price swings can quickly compress profitability, making the stock sensitive to near-term oil and demand shifts ahead of its Aug 4 Q2 earnings call.

Jun 17No significant overnight updatesNeutral

No material news in the last 48 hours.

Jun 16No significant overnight updatesNeutral

No material news in the last 48 hours.

Jun 15No significant overnight updatesNeutral

No material news in the last 48 hours.

Jun 14No significant overnight updatesNeutral

No material news in the last 48 hours.

May 21Marathon Petroleum stock trading near recent highs as analysts digest buyback expansion and recent leadership changesPositive

MPC traded between $250.28 and $264.14 on May 21, 2026, closing around $258.44. The stock continues to benefit from a recently expanded $5.0 billion share repurchase authorization (taking total authorization to $55.10 billion) and a strong Q1 earnings beat reported earlier in May. The company also recently announced leadership changes, with Brian Worthington named VP of Investor Relations and Kristina Kazarian moving to VP Finance and Treasurer, effective May 25, 2026. A $1.00 quarterly dividend was declared with record date May 20, 2026, payable June 10. Refining margins remain supported by Middle East supply disruption.

May 20Marathon Petroleum's $1.00 dividend goes ex-today (May 20), with new Treasurer Kristina Kazarian taking the role May 25 amid an expanded $55.1B buyback authorization.Positive

Marathon Petroleum's $1.00 quarterly dividend has an ex-date of May 20, 2026, the same day the company is finalizing a leadership transition: Kristina Kazarian becomes VP, Finance and Treasurer effective May 25, with Brian Worthington succeeding her as VP, Investor Relations. The moves follow MPC's blow-out Q1 2026 print earlier in the month, where adjusted EPS of $1.65 trounced consensus by $0.90 as Middle East-driven supply disruptions inflated refining margins, and revenue reached $34.57B. The board expanded the share repurchase authorization to roughly $55.1B, reinforcing one of the most aggressive capital-return programs in the energy sector. MPC stock is up about 55% over the past year, with refiners benefiting from elevated crack spreads tied to the Iran-Israel conflict. No fresh analyst rating changes were flagged in the past 24-48 hours.

May 19No significant overnight updatesNeutral

No material news in the last 48 hours.

May 18Marathon Petroleum names new IR and Treasurer leaders effective May 25, reinforcing post-Q1 beat narrative with $5B additional buyback authorization.Positive

On May 12, 2026 Marathon Petroleum beat Q1 2026 estimates with adjusted EPS of $1.65 versus $0.75 expected, revenue of $34.57B, and adjusted EBITDA of $2.8B, with net income of $511M and cash from operations of $1.1B. Refinery utilization was 89% with near-100% capture rates while completing ~40% of planned 2026 turnarounds. The Board approved an incremental $5B share repurchase authorization, bringing available buyback capacity to $8.6B as of March 31. Marathon also declared a $1.00/share dividend payable June 10. Brian Worthington was named VP Investor Relations effective May 25, succeeding Kristina Kazarian who becomes VP Finance and Treasurer. Morgan Stanley raised its PT to $233 from $200 (Overweight); TD Cowen raised to $320 from $299 (Buy); Raymond James raised to $285 from $270 (Outperform).

May 15Marathon Petroleum's $7.5B credit facility refresh and $5B buyback authorization underscore capital returns as 10 analysts revise estimates higher.Positive

Marathon Petroleum's $7.50B unsecured revolving credit facility refresh (jointly with MPLX, replacing 2022 facilities) was finalized recently, providing multi-year liquidity through April 2031. The board also approved a $5B share repurchase authorization. Following Q1 2026 EPS of $1.65 (vs $1.09 consensus) and revenue of $34.57B, 10 analysts revised earnings upward and Goldman Sachs, Barclays, Raymond James and TD Cowen all raised price targets. Brian Worthington was named VP Investor Relations effective May 25, succeeding Kristina Kazarian who becomes VP Finance and Treasurer. Average analyst rating Buy with $243.47 target. Risk: refining margin cyclicality.

May 14Marathon Petroleum names Brian Worthington as new VP Investor Relations effective May 25 after a $5B buyback authorization and Q1 EPS beatPositive

On May 11, Marathon Petroleum announced Brian Worthington will succeed Kristina Kazarian as VP Investor Relations effective May 25, 2026; Kazarian becomes VP Finance and Treasurer, both reporting to CFO Maria Khoury. The leadership transition follows the May 5 Q1 print where EPS of $1.65 crushed the $0.75 consensus on revenue of $34.57B vs $33.07B expected, with $1B+ returned to shareholders in the quarter and the Board approving an incremental $5B share repurchase authorization. Strategic capex is being directed to high-return projects including the Garyville jet expansion adding 30,000 bpd. TD Cowen raised its price target to $320 from $299 with a Buy rating. Risk: refining margin volatility and concentration in cyclical end markets could pressure subsequent quarters.

May 13Marathon Petroleum shares rose 3.1% to $252.48 after a Q1 EPS beat ($1.65 vs $0.75) and $5B incremental buyback authorization.Positive

Marathon Petroleum delivered a strong Q1 2026 with EPS of $1.65 (vs $0.75 estimate) on revenue of $34.57B, driving adjusted EBITDA of $2.8B versus $2.0B in Q1 2025. The board authorized an additional $5B in buybacks, lifting total available repurchase capacity to $8.6B. Management noted the lowest unplanned downtime of the decade and proactively accelerated 40% of full-year maintenance into Q1 to maximize availability for an expected constructive macro backdrop. Goldman Sachs raised its price target to $291 from $264 on May 7. Brian Worthington was named VP Investor Relations effective May 25.

May 12Marathon Petroleum named Brian Worthington VP Investor Relations effective May 25 as Q1 capital returns hit $1B and buyback authorization rises to $8.6B.Positive

Marathon Petroleum announced on May 11 that Brian Worthington will become VP, Investor Relations effective May 25, succeeding Kristina Kazarian who moves to VP, Finance and Treasurer. The leadership update follows a strong Q1 print on May 5: EPS of $1.65 beat estimates of $0.75 by $0.90, and net income reached $511M ($1.73/diluted share). MPC returned $1.0B of capital and the board authorized an additional $5B buyback, lifting total available repurchase capacity to $8.6B. Refineries ran at 89% utilization with near-100% capture, and the Garyville jet flexibility project went online. Q1 also marked the company's lowest unplanned downtime this decade.

Sector Peers

CompanyPriceDay1MFwd P/EBetaMkt Cap
VLOVALERO$236.40-1.41%+10.4%12.4x0.55$79.5B
MPCMARATHON$242.87-0.71%+8.1%11.1x0.52$77.8B
PSXPHILLIPS$165.72-0.87%+4.6%10.1x0.68$70.7B
XOMEXXON$137.64-2.20%+0.1%12.7x0.16$568.2B
CVXCHEVRON$173.45-2.33%-1.3%13.4x0.49$337.0B
COPCONOCOPHILLIPS$107.75-3.11%-2.0%11.4x0.12$127.6B

Key Fundamentals

Market Cap$77.8B
P/E (TTM)17.6
Forward P/E11.1
Beta0.52
Div Yield147.00%
Prev Close$244.61

RSI (14-Day)

65Neutral
0305070100

52-Week Range

$158.00$242.87$272.46
From High-10.9%
From Low+53.7%

Moving Averages

50d SMA
$242.56+0.1%
200d SMA
$202.25+20.1%

Price above both MAs — bullish structure.

Historical Returns

1W
-4.2%
1M
-3.8%
3M
+11.7%
6M
+26.7%
1Y
+52.3%
YTD
+47.8%

Volume

Today2.0M
20d Avg2.4M
Ratio0.87x