Mastercard Incorporated logo

Mastercard IncorporatedNYSE: MA

Financials · Transaction & Payment Processing Services

$495.68

-1.44%

Vol: 4.4M

Research Digest

Friday, May 1, 2026

Mixed

Mastercard Q1 2026 revenue beat 15.8% YoY but stock fell 4.13% due to Middle East-related headwinds and cautious guidance

Mastercard reported Q1 2026 revenues of $8.40 billion, up 15.8% YoY and exceeding consensus estimates of $8.26B. Adjusted EPS of $4.60 was 4.2% above estimates. Despite strong earnings, the stock declined as management warned of Middle East-related headwinds on forward guidance. Upcoming investor conferences scheduled for May 19 and May 28.

Price 50d 200d

Previous Market Intelligence

13 days
Apr 30Mastercard surges 4.61% ahead of Q1 earnings with 2026 'off to excellent start'; expanding AI and crypto paymentsPositive

Mastercard stock surged 4.61% ahead of Q1 earnings report released April 30, with management stating 2026 has started 'off to excellent start' and expecting healthy consumer spending in Q2. The company rolled out Agent Pay and Verifiable Intent to support trusted payments for autonomous AI agents on open platforms. In Australia, Mastercard partnered with KuCoin to enable direct crypto payments for everyday purchases. MasterCard says consumer spending to remain healthy in Q2. The firm announced participation in J.P. Morgan Global Tech conference (CFO May 19) and Bernstein Strategic Decisions conference (CEO May 28). Current stock price $536 with market cap of $468.57 billion. Risk: consumer spending slowdown or payment processing competition.

Apr 29Mastercard earnings due April 30; Capital One agreement renewal supports outlook; stock +1.62% on AI expansionPositive

Mastercard is scheduled to report Q1 earnings April 30 with expected EPS of $4.40 and revenue of $8.26B (+14.4%). Stock up 1.62% at $526.24. Company completed BVNK stablecoin payment acquisition in March and is expanding AI-driven payment services. Capital One credit card agreement renewal was renewed favorably. Visa's strong results provide positive momentum. Analysts project 28% upside with max estimate of $735. Regulatory scrutiny over $200B swipe fee settlement ongoing.

Apr 16Mastercard to report Q1 2026 earnings on April 30, 2026; announced 500 million people expansion commitment and ASEAN AI Centre of Excellence in SingaporePositive

Mastercard will release Q1 2026 financial results on April 30, 2026, via conference call at 9:00 a.m. Eastern Time. The company announced a commitment to connect and protect 500 million additional people and established an AI Centre of Excellence in Singapore to power ASEAN AI ambitions in payments. Mastercard rolled out authenticated agentic transaction capabilities across multiple ASEAN markets. The company agreed to acquire BVNK, a leader in stablecoin infrastructure. Wall Street analysts expect 28.81% upside potential.

Apr 15Mastercard expanded stablecoin reach by partnering with Fiserv to make FIUSD available across 150+ million merchants globallyNeutral

Mastercard announced partnership with Fiserv to integrate FIUSD stablecoin across its global payment network. Mastercard also unveiled Agent Pay for agentic payments technology. The company collaborated on a new Walmart credit card program launching fall 2026. CarParts.com launched a branded Mastercard credit card. Mastercard faces mixed analyst views navigating competitive pressures while advancing crypto and digital finance.

Apr 14Mastercard partners with Fiserv to expand FIUSD stablecoin access to 150M+ merchantsPositive

Partnered with Fiserv for FIUSD stablecoin integration reaching 150M+ merchants. Launched AI agent suite. Considering selling Nets unit.

Apr 13BVNK stablecoin platform acquisition ($1.8B including CVR); AI-powered payment pilot in Singapore/MalaysiaPositive

Mastercard acquired stablecoin infrastructure provider BVNK on March 17, 2026, for $1.8B upfront + $300M CVR, expanding crypto payment rails across 130+ countries. Digital currency payments exceeded $350B volume in 2025. Piloted AI-powered payment product in Singapore and Malaysia on April 8. Earnings due April 23. Over 90% of analysts bullish; consensus $665 target implies 35% upside.

Apr 10Mastercard acquires crypto infrastructure provider BVNK for up to $1.8B while expanding AI agentic transaction capabilities.Positive

Mastercard agreed to acquire stablecoin infrastructure provider BVNK for up to $1.8B including $300M contingent payments. Move addresses digital currency payments exceeding $350B volume in 2025. Expanded AI Centre of Excellence in Singapore with authenticated agentic transactions. Board declared quarterly cash dividend of $0.87 per share payable May 8. Stock at $504.58 up 1.63%.

Apr 9Mastercard acquires BVNK for $1.8B to expand stablecoin infrastructure amid blockchain and AI strategic pivotPositive

Mastercard purchased stablecoin infrastructure provider BVNK for up to $1.8B (including $300M contingent) on March 17, expanding digital currency capabilities. Company partnered with Fiserv to integrate FIUSD stablecoin across 150M+ merchants globally. Planning to divest Nets real-time payments unit generating $370M annual revenue. Q1 EPS of $4.76 beat consensus of $4.244. Over 90% of analysts remain bullish with consensus price target of $665, implying ~35% upside.

Apr 8Mastercard announces $1.8B BVNK stablecoin acquisition; FTC issues warning on debanking practices.Mixed

Mastercard announced plans to acquire stablecoin firm BVNK for up to $1.8 billion. FTC issued warning letters to Mastercard, PayPal, Stripe, Visa on debanking practices. Processed close to $11 trillion in volume in 2025. Stock $493.44 (-0.43%). Quarterly dividend $0.87 with record date April 9. Strong Buy consensus from 35 analysts, average target $657.11.

Apr 7Mastercard acquires crypto startup BVNK for up to $1.8B (largest crypto deal); Amazon shifts credit cards to U.S. Bank/MastercardPositive

Mastercard agreed to acquire stablecoin infrastructure startup BVNK for up to $1.8B including $300M performance-contingent payments (largest crypto deal to date). Amazon transitioning small business credit cards to U.S. Bank and Mastercard partnership. Evercore ISI lowered PT to $550 from $610 (In Line rating). Mastercard trading at $501.47 with 447.22B market cap. Q1 EPS $4.76 beat consensus of $4.244 by $0.516. Strategic focus on digital assets, stablecoin infrastructure enabling cross-border payments. BVNK expansion supports sending, holding, converting digital currencies. Navigating recent price fluctuations amid partnerships and strategic pivots. Mastercard also launching Agent Pay agentic payments technology for AI-era commerce.

Apr 6Mastercard declares $0.87 quarterly dividend; stock down 13% YTD amid payments unit sale exploration.Neutral

Mastercard board declared $0.87 quarterly dividend payable May 8. Exploring sale of real-time payments division acquired for $3.2B from Nets in 2019. BVNK acquisition expands stablecoin integration; Fiserv partnership brings FIUSD to 150M+ merchants. Trading at $494.29, down 13% YTD and 18% below 52-week high $601.77. Annual meeting June 16. 28 Buy ratings, $667.88 target.

Apr 3Mastercard partners with Fiserv to expand stablecoin adoption across 150+ million merchants.Mixed

Mastercard partnered with Fiserv to integrate FIUSD stablecoin across its global payment network, enabling transactions at 150+ million merchants worldwide. Amazon launched partnership with Mastercard and U.S. Bank for new small business credit cards. Mastercard acquired BVNK to expand stablecoin offerings. The company faces FTC scrutiny regarding debanking practices alongside Visa and PayPal. Capital One credit card agreement renewal noted as positive. FTC scrutiny offset by strategic blockchain pivots.

Apr 1Mastercard announces quarterly dividend increase to $0.87 per share; Q4 2025 EPS beat estimates by 13% with 17.5% revenue growth.Positive

Mastercard's board declared quarterly cash dividend of $0.87 per share, payable May 8, 2026. Q4 2025 EPS beat analyst estimates by ~13% with revenue up 17.5% YoY. Operating income rose 15% and net income jumped 20% to $3.97 billion. The company announced Mastercard Agent Suite, a suite of AI agents for enterprise deployment, available Q2 2026. Mastercard initiated a Crypto Partner Program in March 2026. Earnings will be reported on April 23, 2026. However, the company is seeking to sell its real-time payments business acquired for $3.2 billion.

Sector Peers

CompanyPriceDay1MFwd P/EBetaMkt Cap
VVISA$328.42-0.43%+8.7%22.5x$627.4B
MAMASTERCARD$495.68-1.44%+0.3%22.2x0.83$444.8B
PYPLPAYPAL$50.47+0.65%+10.3%8.7x1.41$45.1B
XYZBLOCK$71.99+2.10%+16.2%14.7x2.61$42.0B
FISVFISERV$62.21-0.71%+11.2%6.9x$33.5B
FISFIDELITY$46.58+0.11%-0.3%6.8x0.91$24.0B

Key Fundamentals

Market Cap$444.8B
P/E (TTM)30.4
Forward P/E22.2
Beta0.83
Div Yield66.00%
Prev Close$502.92

RSI (14-Day)

49Neutral
0305070100

52-Week Range

$480.50$495.68$601.77
From High-17.6%
From Low+3.2%

Moving Averages

50d SMA
$507.32-2.3%
200d SMA
$547.94-9.5%

Price below 200d MA — bearish structure.

Historical Returns

1W
-2.8%
1M
+0.3%
3M
-4.9%
6M
-13.3%
1Y
-6.9%
YTD
-11.8%

Volume

Today4.4M
20d Avg2.7M
Ratio1.61x