Archer-Daniels-Midland Company logo

Archer-Daniels-Midland CompanyNYSE: ADM

Consumer Staples · Agricultural Products & Services

$75.01

-1.95%

Vol: 2.7M

Research Digest

Friday, June 19, 2026

Neutral

No significant overnight updates

No material news in the last 48 hours.

Price 50d 200d

Previous Market Intelligence

13 days
Jun 18No significant overnight updatesNeutral

No material news in the last 48 hours.

Jun 17UBS raised its Archer-Daniels-Midland price target to $95 from $90 with a Buy rating as analysts revisited improving grain-market dynamics.Positive

On June 15, 2026, UBS raised its price target on Archer-Daniels-Midland to $95 from $90 while reiterating a Buy rating, citing a fresh look at grain-market dynamics that favor the agribusiness. The note lands after a strong run in the shares, which traded around $80 in mid-June with returns of roughly 36% year-to-date and 59% over the past year. ADM is also projected to deliver next-quarter EPS near $1.29 (up ~39% YoY) on revenue of about $22.5B. The bear case is valuation and durability: after such a large rally, several commentaries questioned whether further upside is warranted given that ADM's results are highly sensitive to volatile agricultural commodity spreads and crush margins. A reversal in grain dynamics could quickly undercut the bullish thesis.

Jun 16No significant overnight updatesNeutral

No material news in the last 48 hours. ADM closed near $78.90 on June 12 (down ~2.9% on the day), but there were no company-specific catalysts within the 48-hour window; recent commentary centers on biofuel policy support and earnings beats from prior periods.

Jun 15No significant overnight updatesNeutral

No material news in the last 48 hours.

Jun 14No significant overnight updatesNeutral

No material news in the last 48 hours.

May 21ADM hits 52-week high after raising 2026 EPS guidance on biofuel margin strengthPositive

ADM reached a 52-week high of $81.76 on May 12 after raising FY2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $4.15-$4.70 (from $3.60-$4.25), driven by stronger soybean crush and ethanol margins following finalization of U.S. renewable volume obligations. Q1 sales were $20.49B with net income of $298M; Nutrition segment profitability improved on Decatur East return to full operations. Quarterly dividend affirmed at $0.52. At the annual meeting, shareholders approved a 9M-share increase to the incentive comp plan and rejected an environmental reporting proposal.

May 20No significant overnight updatesNeutral

No material news in the last 48 hours.

May 19ADM was named a Final Trade pick on CNBC on May 18 after hitting a 52-week high amid biofuel margin strength.Positive

On May 18, 2026, ADM was highlighted as a Final Trade pick on CNBC alongside Alibaba and ServiceNow, capping a strong run that has driven the stock up 40.4% YTD and to a 52-week high of $81.76 on May 12. The company has raised 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $4.15-$4.70 (from $3.60-$4.25) on improving biofuel and ethanol margins after U.S. renewable volume obligations were finalized. Q1 adjusted EPS came in at $0.71, up 1% YoY. Bear case: substantial mark-to-market gains tied to commodity hedges may unwind, and the stock now reflects much of the biofuel optimism.

May 18No significant overnight updatesNeutral

No material news in the last 48 hours.

May 15ADM hits 52-week high of $81.76 after Q1 EPS beat, raised FY2026 guidance, and UBS price target hike to $90Positive

Archer-Daniels-Midland stock hit a 52-week high of $81.76 on May 12 as the agribusiness giant continues its 40.4% YTD rally. Q1 2026 adjusted EPS came in at $0.71, beating consensus of $0.68, though revenue of $20.49B missed the $21.25B estimate. Net earnings totaled $298M and segment operating profit rose 2% to $764M, driven by stronger soybean crush, improved ethanol margins, and a recovering Nutrition segment. ADM raised its FY2026 EPS guidance to $4.15-$4.70 from $3.60-$4.25 following new Trump administration biofuels rules requiring higher gas and diesel biofuel content. The company is also expanding into higher-margin vitamin E products targeting 8% CAGR in tocopherols. UBS raised PT to $90 (Buy) from $70; Barclays lifted to $85 (Equal Weight) from $77.

May 14ADM raised 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $4.15-$4.70 from $3.60-$4.25 on biofuels strength after Q1 EPS beat, sending shares to a 52-week high of $81.76 on May 12.Positive

ADM reported Q1 2026 adjusted EPS of $0.71 (up 1% YoY) on May 5, beating expectations despite a modest revenue shortfall. Management significantly raised full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $4.15-$4.70 from the prior $3.60-$4.25 range, citing improving biofuels fundamentals, soybean crush stability, and ethanol margins through 2026 and into 2027. The stock surged 66% over the past year, hitting a 52-week high of $81.76 on May 12. UBS raised its PT to $90 from $70 with a Buy rating on May 7. At the May 7 Annual Meeting, shareholders approved a 9M-share increase to the 2020 Incentive Compensation Plan and re-elected all directors. ADM declared a $0.52 dividend (ex-date May 20) and announced a multimillion-dollar upgrade at its Clinton, Iowa corn processing facility.

May 13ADM hit a fresh 52-week high near $81.87 as it tops consumer staples momentum rankings.Positive

On May 12, 2026, Archer Daniels Midland shares reached a fresh 52-week high around $81.87 as the stock topped consumer staples momentum screens with an A+ grade. The rally extends gains from the May 6 Q1 report, where ADM raised its FY2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $4.15-$4.70 from $3.60-$4.25 on strength in crushing and ethanol following finalized U.S. renewable volume obligations. CEO Juan Luciano emphasized 'meaningfully' improved soybean crush and ethanol margins. Q1 adjusted EPS of $0.71 beat the $0.66 consensus. UBS raised its price target to $90 from $70 with a Buy. Shareholders re-elected all directors on May 7 and approved an expansion of the incentive compensation plan.

May 12ADM raises 2026 EPS guidance to $4.15-$4.70 from $3.60-$4.25 after biofuel policy clarity boosts ethanol and crush marginsPositive

ADM raised its 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $4.15-$4.70 (up from $3.60-$4.25) on May 6 after reporting Q1 EPS of $0.71 that beat estimates. CEO Juan Luciano said soybean crush and ethanol margins strengthened meaningfully after the finalization of US renewable volume obligations. Crush rates ran 10% higher YoY in March as RINs prices rose $1, boosting biodiesel and renewable diesel margins. UBS raised the price target to $90 from $70 (Buy) and Barclays lifted theirs to $85 from $77 (Equal Weight). The board declared a $0.52 quarterly dividend. Shareholders elected all 13 directors and rejected an activist proposal on pesticide disclosure tied to regenerative ag.

Sector Peers

CompanyPriceDay1MFwd P/EBetaMkt Cap
ADMARCHER$75.01-1.95%14.3x0.61$37.0B
BGBUNGE$112.46-3.17%9.7x0.64$20.7B
WMTWALMART$117.25-0.75%34.0x0.60$890.0B
COSTCOSTCO$952.10-1.40%42.1x0.87$422.0B
KOCOCA$79.50-0.54%24.1x0.35$362.0B
PGPROCTER$151.06+0.33%21.4x0.38$352.6B

Key Fundamentals

Market Cap$37.0B
P/E (TTM)34.3
Forward P/E14.3
Beta0.61
Div Yield271.00%
Prev Close$76.50

RSI (14-Day)

52Neutral
0305070100

52-Week Range

$52.23$75.01$85.37
From High-12.1%
From Low+43.6%

Moving Averages

50d SMA
$74.40+0.8%
200d SMA
$65.30+14.9%

Price above both MAs — bullish structure.

Historical Returns

1W
-2.0%
1M
-6.0%
3M
+12.8%
6M
+25.3%
1Y
+62.6%
YTD
+28.0%

Volume

Today2.7M
20d Avg3.3M
Ratio0.82x