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Philippine Business Groups Warn Mideast Conflict Fuels Inflation

Part of Central Banks Confront Geopolitical Inflation

Araverus Team|Thursday, March 26, 2026 at 7:33 AM

Philippine Business Groups Warn Mideast Conflict Fuels Inflation

Araverus Team

Mar 26, 2026 · 7:33 AM

Inflation · Middle East · Philippines · Supply Chain

InflationMiddle EastPhilippinesSupply Chain

Key Takeaway

Investors must prepare for sustained inflationary pressures and supply chain disruptions in the Philippines. This means higher operating costs for Philippine manufacturing and logistics sectors, impacting profitability. It also signals potential currency depreciation for the Philippine Peso as import costs rise, affecting foreign exchange-sensitive investments.

Philippine business groups, including the Federation of Philippine Industries (FPI), Philippine Chamber of Commerce and Industry (PCCI), and Philippine Exporters Confederation Inc.

(Philexport), warned that escalating Middle East tensions will drive up domestic inflation, disrupt supply chains, and reduce remittance inflows, directly impacting households and industries. FPI Chairperson Elizabeth Lee stated that as a net oil importer, the Philippines will experience higher global crude prices, exacerbated by disruptions in oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, a route for 20 percent of global oil.

Lee noted existing oil inventories offer only a short-term buffer, with prolonged conflict leading to sustained upward pressure on fuel costs. PCCI highlighted that increased fuel prices, supply chain disruptions, and reduced remittances will compound to accelerate inflation, weakening Filipino purchasing power and severely affecting micro, small, and medium enterprises (MSMEs).

Philexport anticipates impacts on exports to the Middle East, a significant market for Philippine food products, construction materials, and services, with increased shipping rates, insurance premiums, and longer transit times for electronics, garments, processed food, and furniture. The National Confederation of Irrigators Association Inc.

(NCIA) warned President Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos Jr. that disruptions in urea fertilizer shipments from the Middle East will trigger a surge in prices, directly affecting the agriculture sector.

Business groups urged the government to stabilize fuel prices, guard against speculative practices, explore alternative fuel sources, and accelerate renewable energy development as long-term solutions.

Thread Timeline: Central Banks Confront Geopolitical Inflation

Mar 25, 2026Asia-Pacific Growth Faces Geopolitical, Energy, Tariff Headwinds
Mar 25, 2026Australia Inflation Eases Slightly, RBA Holds Rates Longer
Mar 25, 2026Iran War Fuels UK Inflation, UBS Cuts Eurozone
Mar 25, 2026RBA Warns Middle East War Threatens Inflation, Growth
Mar 26, 2026

Philippine Business Groups Warn Mideast Conflict Fuels Inflation(current)

Read More On

Philippine Central Bank Warns of Inflation Risks From Mideast Warwsj.comMiddle East conflict could worsen Philippine inflation, business groups warn - Manila Bulletinmb.com.phIMF official flags inflation, growth risks from Middle East war - Philippine News Agencypna.gov.phBSP holds rates in rare off-cycle move despite expectations of hike on war-driven inflation risks - Manila Bulletinmb.com.ph

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