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Leonardo Boosts 2025 Forecasts on Defense Demand

Story Thread|Mixed Corporate Earnings and Sector Outlook

Araverus Team|Thursday, March 12, 2026 at 7:37 AM

Leonardo Boosts 2025 Forecasts on Defense Demand

Araverus Team

Mar 12, 2026 · 7:37 AM

Aerospace · Defense · Forecast · Guidance

AerospaceDefenseForecastGuidance

Key Takeaway

Investors should note Leonardo's upgraded 2025 guidance underscores the sustained tailwinds in the global defense sector, particularly in Europe, translating into significant revenue and order growth for key players. This trend suggests continued opportunities for defense contractors to enhance profitability and cash flow over the long term.

Italy's state-controlled defense giant, Leonardo S.p.A., has significantly upgraded its financial guidance for 2025, signaling robust growth driven by a strong order backlog and increased European defense spending.

The company now anticipates revenues to reach approximately 18.6 billion euros, a notable increase from the 17.7 billion euros projected in its March 2024 five-year industrial plan. New orders are expected to hit around 21 billion euros by year-end, following a strong performance in 2024 that surpassed earlier expectations.

Furthermore, Leonardo projects an EBITA profit of approximately 1.66 billion euros for 2025. This positive outlook is underpinned by the sustained expansion of its core businesses, particularly defense electronics and helicopters, which are benefiting from the current geopolitical landscape.

The company's management emphasized that these revised expectations confirm a sustainable growth trajectory, aiming to strengthen its competitive position in both domestic and international markets, supported by enhanced profitability and cash generation. Investors reacted positively, with shares climbing 2.4% on the Milan bourse, reflecting the market's confidence in Leonardo's strategic direction and its ability to capitalize on the ongoing surge in global defense expenditures.

The stock has seen an impressive 380% increase since February 2022, highlighting the long-term impact of geopolitical shifts on defense contractors.

Thread Timeline: Mixed Corporate Earnings and Sector Outlook

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Read More On

Leonardo Targets Higher Revenue, Earnings as Defense Order Boom Continueswsj.comLeonardo CEO says defence spending rise could add to growth estimates - Reutersreuters.com1H 2024 double digit growth performance across all KPIs. Orders € 10.3 bn (+15.6%*), revenues € 8 bn (+10.9%*), EBITA € 503 mln (+13.3%1). FOCF € - 502 mln, up 8.4%*. FY 2024 guidance confirmed - Leonardo S.p.A.leonardo.comLeonardo beats expectations: orders reach €23,8 billion, revenues reach €19,5 billion, and debt drops sharply. The boardroom is dedicated to engineer Guarguaglini. - firstonline.infofirstonline.infoNEW ORDERS OF € 17.3 BN (+21%*), REVENUES OF € 14.7 BN (+4.7%*), EBITA OF € 1.2 BN (+14.9%*-**), NET RESULT BEFORE EXTRAORDINARY TRANSACTIONS OF € 697 MLN (+18.7%), NET RESULT OF € 932 MLN (+58.8%), FOCF OF € 539 MLN - Leonardo S.p.A.leonardo.com

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