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High Rates Stall Home Sales Despite Inventory Gains

Araverus Team|Sunday, March 22, 2026 at 9:30 AM

High Rates Stall Home Sales Despite Inventory Gains

Araverus Team

Mar 22, 2026 · 9:30 AM

Home Sales · Housing Market · Inventory · Mortgage Rates

Home SalesHousing MarketInventoryMortgage Rates

Key Takeaway

The persistent stagnation in existing home sales, driven by elevated mortgage rates and high prices, means continued headwinds for the residential real estate sector. This means reduced revenue and growth for homebuilders, mortgage originators, and home improvement retailers, impacting their stock performance. It also means sustained pressure on consumer discretionary spending due to housing affordability constraints.

Existing home sales unexpectedly fell 4.9% in January from December's levels, according to National Association of Realtors (NAR) data, as elevated mortgage rates and high prices deterred buyers despite an increase in available inventory.

The decline in sales to fewer than expected by economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal and Dow Jones Newswires marks the first slowdown in four months, raising questions about housing market momentum. Inventory, however, increased 3.5% from the previous month, with 1.18 million units available, up 16.8% year-over-year.

Despite this improved supply, the median existing home price rose almost 5% from a year ago to $396,900, and mortgage rates remain near 7%. NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun states that both increased inventory and lower mortgage rates are necessary for consumers to purchase homes.

BMO Senior Economist Priscilla Thiagamoorthy notes that potential buyers are reluctant due to poor affordability, while would-be sellers are unwilling to forfeit favorable pandemic-era mortgage terms. Oxford Economics lead U.S. economist Nancy Vanden Houten does not expect prices to soften significantly, indicating many buyers will remain priced out.

Read More On

More would-be home sellers are renting out their houses and condos, unwilling to cut prices in a sluggish housing marketwsj.comHome Prices Are Finally Cooling: Nearly 17% of Sellers Are Slashing Prices as More Homes Linger on the Market - Realtor.comrealtor.comMore Homes Are For Sale, But People Aren’t Buying - Investopediainvestopedia.com

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