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US Pending Home Sales Up 1.8%; Affordability Mixed

Araverus Team|Tuesday, March 17, 2026 at 2:20 PM

Araverus Team

Mar 17, 2026 · 2:20 PM

Affordability · Housing Market · Mortgage Rates · Pending Home Sales

AffordabilityHousing MarketMortgage RatesPending Home Sales

Key Takeaway

While a monthly rise in pending home sales offers a glimmer of optimism, investors should note the persistent year-over-year decline and the market's sensitivity to mortgage rates and regional affordability, which could impact housing-related sectors and consumer spending.

Pending home sales in the U.S. saw a modest 1.8% increase month-over-month in February 2026, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR).

This uptick, however, contrasts with a 0.8% decline year-over-year, indicating a mixed market recovery. Regionally, the Midwest, South, and West experienced monthly gains, while the Northeast saw a decline.

Annually, the South and West improved, but the Northeast and Midwest faced contractions. NAR Chief Economist Dr. Lawrence Yun attributes the slight gain to improved affordability conditions, particularly in the Midwest, which was the strongest performer.

However, he cautioned that these conditions are fragile and could reverse if rising oil prices lead to higher mortgage rates. The Northeast continues to struggle with elevated home prices and limited inventory.

Despite sluggish recent job gains, a significant pent-up demand from first-time homebuyers is noted, supported by 6 million more jobs than pre-Covid levels, suggesting potential for future market activity.

Read More On

U.S. Pending-Home Sales Rose in Februarywsj.comHousing market on the rise? Why pending contracts for home sales have industry buzzing. - USA Todayusatoday.comFebruary pending home sales rise 1.8%, beating estimates - CNBCcnbc.comUnited States Pending Home Sales Index - Investing.cominvesting.comU.S. Pending-Home Sales Rose in February - marketscreener.commarketscreener.com

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