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Deterrence · Geopolitics · Semiconductors · Taiwan Strait
The U.S. intelligence community recently assessed there is no fixed timeline for Xi Jinping to move on Taiwan, but Eyck Freymann argues China is pursuing a "campaign of exhaustion" through constant incursions, cyber strikes, and cultural influence to break Taiwan's will.
This strategy, detailed in Freymann's book "Defending Taiwan," aims to make resistance feel too costly for Taipei and Washington. The historical U.S. military deterrence is losing efficacy as China rapidly builds its military.
Freymann advocates for an integrated American deterrence combining military strength, economic leverage, technological leadership, and diplomatic influence, including "avalanche decoupling" and maintaining a decisive lead in semiconductors and artificial intelligence. Failure to deter China would plunge the global economy into chaos, shatter U.S. alliances, and allow China to dominate the region.
Washington must use this window to build a comprehensive deterrence strategy.
China Squeezes Taiwan; US Must Adapt Deterrence(current)
