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Exelon CorporationNasdaq: EXC

Utilities · Electric Utilities

$45.84

+0.61%

Vol: 6.9M

Research Digest

Friday, June 19, 2026

Neutral

No significant overnight updates

No material news in the last 48 hours.

Price 50d 200d

Previous Market Intelligence

13 days
Jun 18No significant overnight updatesNeutral

No material news in the last 48 hours.

Jun 17No significant overnight updatesNeutral

No material news in the last 48 hours.

Jun 16No significant overnight updatesNeutral

No material news in the last 48 hours.

Jun 15No significant overnight updatesNeutral

No material news in the last 48 hours.

Jun 14No significant overnight updatesNeutral

No material news in the last 48 hours.

May 21Exelon beats Q1 estimates, affirms 2026 EPS guidance, and shifts capex from utility to transmission to ease customer billsNeutral

Exelon reported Q1 2026 adjusted EPS of $0.91 and revenue of $7.24B on May 6, beating estimates. The company affirmed FY26 guidance of $2.81-$2.91 per share and projected compounded annual EPS growth near the top of its 5-7% target range through 2029. Exelon also revised its capex plan to lower utility spending by $350M next year while increasing transmission investments, with a four-year plan totaling $41.7B that supports 7.9% annual rate-base growth. EXC declared a $0.42 cash dividend with an ex-date of June 4. Data-center driven load growth remains a long-term tailwind (ComEd expects Illinois load to rise 19 GW by 2030), though PECO withdrew its electric and gas rate cases in Pennsylvania, creating near-term cost-recovery uncertainty. TD Cowen trimmed its PT to $49 from $51.

May 20TD Cowen lowered Exelon's price target to $49 from $51 (Hold) on May 15 amid PECO's withdrawal of Pennsylvania rate cases, while Exelon defers $1.1B utility capex and shifts $1.5B to transmission to support data-center load.Mixed

TD Cowen cut its Exelon price target to $49 from $51 on May 15 while maintaining Hold, citing rising capex and grid demand concerns. Exelon is rebalancing its capital plan with $1.1B in PECO/BGE project deferrals and $1.5B in incremental transmission investment to interconnect data centers, while PECO withdrew its Pennsylvania electric and gas rate cases, raising near-term cost recovery uncertainty. ComEd expects Illinois load to grow 19 GW by 2030 driven by data centers, supporting the structural growth thesis. Exelon affirmed FY26 adjusted EPS guidance of $2.81-$2.91 and a $41.7B four-year capex plan targeting 7.9% rate base growth. Risk: regulatory delays in PA could pressure near-term earnings even as long-term data-center tailwinds build.

May 19Exelon faces analyst PT cuts in mid-May as TD Cowen lowered target to $49 and KeyBanc cut to $41 with Sell rating amid regulatory uncertainty.Negative

Exelon reported Q1 2026 (May 6) adj. EPS of $0.91 and revenue $7.24B, topping estimates. Capital plan adjusted: $1.1B utility deferrals at PECO and BGE offset by $1.5B transmission increase; revised plan calls for $41.7B over four years with 7.9% rate base growth and 16%/yr transmission growth. 2026 EPS guide $2.81-$2.91. PECO withdrew PA rate cases. TD Cowen cut PT to $49 from $51 (May 15); KeyBanc to $41 from $43 with Sell (May 13). Bear case: regulatory withdrawal creates near-term cost-recovery uncertainty.

May 18TD Cowen trimmed Exelon's price target to $49 on May 15, the latest in a string of sell-side cuts as the utility navigates revised capital spending.Negative

On May 15, 2026, TD Cowen maintained a Hold rating on Exelon and lowered its price target to $49 from $51, following KeyBanc's May 13 cut from $43 to $41 with a Sell rating. The actions come after Exelon's Q1 results on May 6 delivered adjusted EPS of $0.91 on $7.24B in revenue, but the company also announced a revised capital plan that defers $1.1B at PECO and BGE while adding $1.5B in transmission spending tied to data center interconnections. Exelon reaffirmed its full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $2.81-$2.91 and reiterated long-term EPS growth near the top of its 5-7% range through 2029. Shares trade near $43.47, close to the 52-week low, with the data-center demand story seen as the key upside catalyst. A $0.42 dividend is payable with an ex-date of June 4.

May 15KeyBanc cut Exelon price target to $41 on May 12 amid PECO Pennsylvania rate case withdrawal; Q1 EPS of $0.91 beat estimates.Mixed

Exelon reported Q1 2026 adjusted EPS of $0.91 and revenue of $7.24B on May 6, beating estimates with outperformance driven by favorable weather and timing. The company affirmed 2026 EPS guidance of $2.81-$2.91 and projects 5-7% EPS CAGR through 2029. The four-year capital plan was revised upward to $41.7B for 2026-2029, with reallocation toward transmission investment. However, PECO withdrew its electric and gas rate cases in Pennsylvania, creating regulatory uncertainty. KeyBanc cut its price target to $41 from $43 on May 12; Evercore ISI cut to $57 from $58 on May 8. The board declared a $0.42 dividend on April 28. Risk: regulatory uncertainty from withdrawn rate cases.

May 14Exelon Q1 2026 EPS of $0.91 reaffirms full-year guidance; reallocates $1.1B utility spend to $1.5B transmission to ease affordabilityMixed

Exelon reported Q1 2026 adjusted EPS of $0.91 and revenue of $7.24B on May 6, 2026, affirming full-year 2026 guidance of $2.81-$2.91 per share and projecting compounded annual EPS growth near the top of its 5%-7% target through 2029. The utility lowered planned spending at PECO and BGE by $1.1B (deferrals/reductions) while raising transmission investment by $1.5B, resulting in $41.7B total capex over four years and 7.9% annual rate base growth. The shift aims to ease electric affordability while capturing data center transmission demand. The board declared a $0.42 quarterly dividend on April 28. KeyBanc lowered its target to $41 from $43, maintaining Underweight, citing regulatory uncertainty. Shares trade near $44.45, close to a 52-week low.

May 13Exelon affirms 2026 EPS guidance of $2.81-$2.91 after Q1 beat but stock slips on regulatory concernsMixed

Exelon reported Q1 2026 results on May 6 with adjusted EPS of $0.91 and revenue of $7.24 billion, topping analyst expectations, driven primarily by favorable weather and timing-related items. The company affirmed its full-year 2026 adjusted operating earnings guidance of $2.81-$2.91 per share and outlined a $41.7 billion four-year capital plan underpinning expected 7.9% rate base growth. The board declared a dividend of $0.42 per share on April 28. Despite the affirmation, the stock has slipped 3.4% over the past seven days and 9.5% over 30 days on increased regulatory risk concerns. Recent analyst downgrades and a Hold rating with a $49 price target indicate caution. Exelon also secured a $13 million savings settlement for gas customers.

May 12Exelon Q1 adjusted EPS $0.91; cuts utility spending by $350M to ease bills; files $2.5B equity offeringMixed

Exelon reported Q1 2026 adjusted operating EPS of $0.91, slightly below $0.92 last year but ahead of internal expectations. The company revised its capital plan to lower utility spending by $350 million next year to support electric affordability — featuring $1.1 billion of project deferrals/reductions at PECO and BGE, offset by $1.5 billion of incremental transmission investment to support data-center interconnection agreements. The revised plan calls for $41.7 billion in spending over four years with 7.9% annual rate base growth and ~16% transmission rate base growth through 2029. Exelon filed a $2.5 billion follow-on equity offering. Recent downgrades by multiple firms reflect regulatory risk concerns. Dividend yield 3.52%.

Sector Peers

CompanyPriceDay1MFwd P/EBetaMkt Cap
EXCEXELON$45.84+0.61%+1.0%15.8x0.41$49.0B
SOSOUTHERN$93.26+0.78%+0.8%19.9x0.33$110.5B
DUKDUKE$123.92+0.15%+0.9%18.1x0.37$101.0B
CEGCONSTELLATION$274.07+2.58%-9.4%17.6x1.12$85.4B
AEPAMERICAN$127.69-0.45%-0.1%20.2x0.50$75.4B
ETRENTERGY$111.04+0.16%-0.7%22.7x0.49$53.7B

Key Fundamentals

Market Cap$49.0B
P/E (TTM)17.5
Forward P/E15.8
Beta0.41
Div Yield351.00%
Prev Close$45.56

RSI (14-Day)

60Neutral
0305070100

52-Week Range

$42.47$45.84$50.65
From High-9.5%
From Low+7.9%

Moving Averages

50d SMA
$46.81-2.1%
200d SMA
$45.49+0.8%

Price between 50d and 200d. Testing 50d support.

Historical Returns

1W
-1.9%
1M
+3.7%
3M
-6.0%
6M
+2.7%
1Y
+8.3%
YTD
+5.3%

Volume

Today6.9M
20d Avg8.4M
Ratio0.82x