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Texas GOP Senate Runoff: $110 Million Battle Tests Trump's Influence

Story Thread|Iran War Threatens Trump's Midterm Political Strategy

Araverus Team|Wednesday, March 4, 2026 at 12:05 PM

Texas GOP Senate Runoff: $110 Million Battle Tests Trump's Influence

Araverus Team

Mar 4, 2026 · 12:05 PM

Election · Republican · Senate Primary · Texas

ElectionRepublicanSenate PrimaryTexas

Key Takeaway

The highly contentious and expensive Texas Senate runoff between Cornyn and Paxton, coupled with Trump's uncommitted stance, introduces political uncertainty that could influence future legislative priorities and the broader Republican Party's trajectory, potentially impacting policy stability and investor confidence in the state.

The Texas Republican Senate primary is heading to a May 26 runoff between incumbent Senator John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, as neither candidate secured over 50% of the vote.

This contentious race has already seen record-breaking spending, with over $110 million poured into television ads. The contest is marked by intense personal attacks, with Cornyn criticizing Paxton's character and legal troubles, including a 2023 impeachment by the Texas House and prior securities fraud charges.

Paxton, a close ally of former President Trump, counters by accusing Cornyn of attempting to "steal the election" with significant funding, while emphasizing his popular support. Despite the GOP's Senate campaign arm investing millions in Cornyn, former President Trump has notably withheld an endorsement in this primary, though a survey indicates his backing significantly sways 55% of Republican voters.

The runoff outcome will be a key indicator of the Republican Party's direction in Texas and the broader influence of Trump's political capital.

Thread Timeline: Iran War Threatens Trump's Midterm Political Strategy

Show 24 older articles...
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Mar 4, 2026Texas Democrats Back Talarico's Populist Faith for Crucial Senate Bid
Mar 4, 2026

Texas GOP Senate Runoff: $110 Million Battle Tests Trump's Influence(current)

Mar 4, 2026Senate Blocks Bid to Curb Trump's Iran War Powers Amid Escalating Conflict
Mar 5, 2026Daines' Strategic Retirement and Trump-Backed Successor Reshape Montana Senate Race
Mar 5, 2026Emanuel Urges Democrats to Prioritize Pocketbook Issues for 2026 Midterm Success
Mar 8, 2026Trump Win Empowers Netanyahu, Shifts Mideast Policy
Mar 10, 2026Trump Advisers Push Iran Exit Amid Oil Surge
Mar 10, 2026GOP Privately Fears Iran War's Economic, Political Toll
Mar 10, 2026Trump's Iran War Rationale Shifts, Policy Uncertainty Grows
Mar 11, 2026US, Israel Split on Iran War Duration
Mar 14, 2026White House Memes War, Faces Public Backlash
Mar 15, 2026US Public Opposes Iran War, Disapproves Trump
Mar 17, 2026Kent Quits, Blasts Trump's Iran War Justification
Mar 18, 2026Kent Resigns Over Iran War, Citing No Threat
Mar 18, 2026

Iran War Drives Oil Prices Higher, Risks Mount.

Mar 19, 2026Trump Slams Kent Resignation Amid Iran War
Mar 28, 2026Iran War Divides Conservatives, Threatens GOP Midterms

Read More On

White House officials aren’t all singing from the same hymnbook as they fan out and seek to explain “Operation Epic Fury.” Read more in today’s WSJ Politics Newsletter:wsj.comTalarico beats Crockett; Cornyn, Paxton move to runoff in heated Texas Senate race - Dallas Newsdallasnews.comTalarico wins Texas Senate Democratic nomination while Cornyn and Paxton head to Republican runoff - AP Newsapnews.comRepublicans Cornyn and Paxton in runoff in critical Texas Senate race - Reutersreuters.comCornyn and Paxton head to runoff in Texas Senate GOP race - Politicopolitico.com

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