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Iran Deal Hopes Drive Yields, Oil Down; Stocks Up

Araverus Team|Friday, June 12, 2026 at 7:55 PM

Araverus Team

Jun 12, 2026 · 7:55 PM

Iran Deal · Nvidia Earnings · Stock Market · Treasury Yields

Iran DealNvidia EarningsStock MarketTreasury Yields

Key Takeaway

Lower oil prices and easing bond yields provide immediate relief for equity markets, particularly growth-oriented sectors like technology and consumer discretionary. Reduced geopolitical risk from potential U.S.-Iran de-escalation directly impacts energy prices and sovereign bond yields, which in turn influences inflation expectations and Federal Reserve policy outlook, benefiting technology and consumer discretionary stocks while pressuring energy sector performance.

U.S. Treasury yields and oil prices fell on Wednesday, while major stock indexes rose, as hopes for a U.S.-Iran deal to end the Middle East war increased and investors anticipated strong Nvidia earnings results.

The benchmark U.S. 10-year note yield dropped 9.4 basis points to 4.576%, and U.S. crude fell $5.89 to settle at $98.26 a barrel. President Donald Trump stated negotiations with Iran were in final stages, contributing to renewed positive market sentiment.

Major U.S. stock indexes saw significant gains, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising 1.18% to 49,945.54, the S&P 500 gaining 0.93% to 7,421.81, and the Nasdaq Composite advancing 1.33% to 26,214.83. Expectations for Nvidia's first-quarter earnings remained high, with revenue forecast to jump nearly 80% to about $79 billion, according to an LSEG survey of analysts, boosting chip stocks.

Despite the positive market reaction, Jake Dollarhide, CEO of Longbow Asset Management, noted underlying pessimism regarding the Federal Reserve's position if oil prices rise again, with Fed funds futures traders pricing in roughly 50% odds of a rate hike by December.

Read More On

Treasury Yields End Week Lower Amid Hopes of U.S.-Iran Dealwsj.comUS Treasury yields edge lower on hopes for Iran deal - Investing.cominvesting.comTreasury Yields Rise as Iran Rejects U.S. Plan for Strait of Hormuz - Investing.cominvesting.comTreasury yields edge lower as traders hope for U.S.-Iran deal, weigh in-line inflation report - CNBCcnbc.comTreasury yields climb amid Hormuz disruption concerns - Investing.cominvesting.com

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